Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 4–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Swansea play Blackburn at home on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea); the referee is Gavin Ward. For us, Swansea (54%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Swansea vs Blackburn: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Swansea are 5th in the table, on 26 points after 14 matches (8W 2D 4L), and Blackburn are 14th, on 18 points (5W 3D 6L).
- Attack and defence. On average Swansea score 1.3 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.1; for Blackburn the figures are 1.6 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Swansea: 7W 2D 3L, goals 16–13; Blackburn: 5W 3D 4L, goals 19–16.
- Head to head. From 20 meetings: 10 wins for Swansea, 6 wins for Blackburn and 4 draws, with the goals at 34–24.
What to expect
For us, Swansea are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.4%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.78), and we rate it at 53%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 53% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 51% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 20; Swansea 10 wins, 4 draws, Blackburn 6 wins.
- An average of 2.9 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Swansea 16–13, Blackburn 19–16.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 51%.
- Out: Swansea 3, Blackburn 5.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 53%, best price 1.78). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Swansea: C. Burgess, Ronald, M. K. Yeo. Absent for Blackburn: A. Forshaw, M. Litherland, L. Miller, S. Morsy, R. Morishita. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Swansea vs Blackburn: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.81 | 3.90 | 4.85 |
| Market average | 1.74 | 3.71 | 4.54 |
| Lowest odds | 1.70 | 3.16 | 3.74 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.25 | 74.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.91 | 1.84 | 51.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 1.95 | 48.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.29 | 3.04 | 30.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.78 | 1.75 | 53.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 1.98 | 47.0% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 13:40. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.6%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Swansea 1–1 Blackburn, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Swansea 5th (26 points), Blackburn 14th (18 points).
- Form in the competition: Swansea 7W 2D 3L (16:13), Blackburn 5W 3D 4L (19:16).
- H2H: 20 matches: Swansea 10W 4D 6L, goals 34–24.
- Absences: Swansea 3, Blackburn 5.
Who will win Swansea vs Blackburn?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Swansea vs Blackburn: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Swansea vs Blackburn: team news and absences
Swansea
- C. BurgessAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- Ronaldhamstring injury · will miss the match
- M. K. Yeoinjury · will miss the match
Blackburn
- A. Forshawhip injury · will miss the match
- M. Litherlandmuscle injury · will miss the match
- L. MillerAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- S. Morsyabsence · will miss the match
- R. Morishitainjury · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 | Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 | Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 14 | 5-2-7 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 14 | 1-4-9 | 11:29 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
Swansea
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
SwanseaLWLLWBlackburnLLWLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Swansea vs Blackburn?
Over 2.5 goals (1.91); Swansea to win (1.81).
Who will win Swansea vs Blackburn?
We estimate: Swansea win 54%, draw 25%, Blackburn win 21%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea. Referee: Gavin Ward.
Who will be missing?
Swansea: C. Burgess, Ronald, M. K. Yeo. Blackburn: A. Forshaw, M. Litherland, L. Miller, S. Morsy, R. Morishita. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.91); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 49% (odds 2.00).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 53% (odds 1.78).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.4%), then 1–0 (11.4%) and 2–1 (9.7%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.