Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
West Brom v Southampton: 3 November 2026 · 20:00 at The Hawthorns (West Bromwich), with Josh Smith refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
West Brom vs Southampton: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. West Brom are 6th in the table, on 25 points after 14 matches (7W 4D 3L), and Southampton are 7th, on 24 points (8W 4D 2L).
- Attack and defence. On average West Brom score 1.5 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.1; for Southampton the figures are 2.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. West Brom: 7W 3D 3L, goals 19–14; Southampton: 8W 3D 2L, goals 28–13.
- Head to head. From 21 meetings: 5 wins for West Brom, 12 wins for Southampton and 4 draws, with the goals at 19–26.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.4%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.73), and we rate it at 55%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 55% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 50% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 21; West Brom 5 wins, 4 draws, Southampton 12 wins.
- An average of 2.1 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: West Brom 19–14, Southampton 28–13.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 50%.
- Out: West Brom 3, Southampton 3.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 55%, best price 1.73). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for West Brom: T. Collyer, N. Galves, M. Johnston. Absent for Southampton: M. Roerslev Rasmussen, C. Jander, C. Larin. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
West Brom vs Southampton: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.44 | 3.45 | 3.06 |
| Market average | 2.37 | 3.32 | 2.92 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.14 | 2.78 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.27 | 73.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 1.91 | 49.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 1.88 | 50.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.18 | 29.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.68 | 55.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.08 | 44.6% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 3/11/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.6%.
At a glance
- Likely result: West Brom 1–1 Southampton, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: West Brom 6th (25 points), Southampton 7th (24 points).
- Form in the competition: West Brom 7W 3D 3L (19:14), Southampton 8W 3D 2L (28:13).
- H2H: 21 matches: West Brom 5W 4D 12L, goals 19–26.
- Absences: West Brom 3, Southampton 3.
Who will win West Brom vs Southampton?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
West Brom vs Southampton: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
West Brom vs Southampton: team news and absences
West Brom
- T. Collyerinjury · will miss the match
- N. Galvesknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Johnstonbroken leg · will miss the match
Southampton
- M. Roerslev Rasmussennot in the squad · will miss the match
- C. Jandernot in the squad · doubtful
- C. Larinhamstring injury · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 |  Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 | West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 14 | 5-2-7 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 14 | 1-4-9 | 11:29 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
West Brom
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
West BromDWDWWSouthamptonDWWDWHead to head
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for West Brom vs Southampton?
West Brom +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.58); Both teams to score (1.73).
Who will win West Brom vs Southampton?
We estimate: West Brom win 40%, draw 28%, Southampton win 32%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 3 November 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: The Hawthorns, West Bromwich. Referee: Josh Smith.
Who will be missing?
West Brom: T. Collyer, N. Galves, M. Johnston. Southampton: M. Roerslev Rasmussen, C. Jander, C. Larin. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 2.00); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 50% (odds 1.93).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 55% (odds 1.73).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.4%), then 1–0 (9.9%) and 0–1 (8.8%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.