Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Blackburn against Wrexham on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Ewood Park (Blackburn), and Matthew Corlett, England will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Blackburn vs Wrexham: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Blackburn are 14th in the table, on 18 points after 14 matches (5W 3D 6L), and Wrexham are 16th, on 17 points (4W 5D 5L).
- Attack and defence. On average Blackburn score 1.5 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.5; for Wrexham the figures are 1.4 scored and 1.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Blackburn: 4W 3D 4L, goals 17–16; Wrexham: 3W 5D 3L, goals 15–16.
- Head to head. From 4 meetings: 2 wins for Blackburn, 1 win for Wrexham and 1 draw, with the goals at 7–4.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.9%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.79), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 52% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 46% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 4; Blackburn 2 wins, 1 draw, Wrexham 1 win.
- An average of 2.8 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Blackburn 17–16, Wrexham 15–16.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 46%.
- Out: Blackburn 7, Wrexham 7.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 52%, best price 1.85). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Blackburn: A. Forshaw, M. Litherland, L. Miller, Y. Ohashi, Y. Ribeiro, R. Morishita, S. Wharton. Absent for Wrexham: N. Broadhead, L. Cacace, M. Cleworth, S. Revan, J. Windass, B. Sheaf, G. Thomason. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Blackburn vs Wrexham: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.47 |
| Market average | 3.02 | 3.26 | 2.37 |
| Lowest odds | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.33 | 70.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.07 | 45.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.79 | 1.73 | 54.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.00 | 3.67 | 25.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.80 | 51.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.92 | 48.3% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 13:58. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.0%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Blackburn 1–1 Wrexham, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Blackburn 14th (18 points), Wrexham 16th (17 points).
- Form in the competition: Blackburn 4W 3D 4L (17:16), Wrexham 3W 5D 3L (15:16).
- H2H: 4 matches: Blackburn 2W 1D 1L, goals 7–4.
- Absences: Blackburn 7, Wrexham 7.
Who will win Blackburn vs Wrexham?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Blackburn vs Wrexham: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Blackburn vs Wrexham: team news and absences
Blackburn
- A. Forshawhip injury · will miss the match
- M. Litherlandmuscle injury · will miss the match
- L. MillerAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- Y. Ohashihamstring injury · will miss the match
- Y. Ribeirohamstring injury · will miss the match
- R. Morishitainjury · doubtful
- S. WhartonAchilles tendon injury · doubtful
Wrexham
- N. Broadheadthigh injury · will miss the match
- L. Cacacecalf injury · will miss the match
- M. Cleworthmuscle injury · will miss the match
- S. Revanhamstring injury · will miss the match
- J. Windassankle injury · will miss the match
- B. Sheafinjury · doubtful
- G. Thomasonthigh injury · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 |  Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 | Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 14 | 5-2-7 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 14 | 1-4-9 | 11:29 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
Blackburn
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
BlackburnLLWLWWrexhamWLLWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Blackburn vs Wrexham?
Blackburn +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Under 2.5 goals (1.79).
Who will win Blackburn vs Wrexham?
We estimate: Blackburn win 31%, draw 29%, Wrexham win 40%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: Ewood Park, Blackburn. Referee: Matthew Corlett, England.
Who will be missing?
Blackburn: A. Forshaw, M. Litherland, L. Miller, Y. Ohashi, Y. Ribeiro, R. Morishita, S. Wharton. Wrexham: N. Broadhead, L. Cacace, M. Cleworth, S. Revan, J. Windass, B. Sheaf, G. Thomason. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.18); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 54% (odds 1.79).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 52% (odds 1.85).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.9%), then 0–1 (11.2%) and 1–0 (9.9%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.