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League One · Matchweek 8 · 27 October 2026 · 19:45

Leicester vs Wigan: prediction, tip and odds, 27 October 2026, League One

3–0
DWLLL
1Leicester1.42
XDraw5.20
2Wigan7.50

Best price · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Leicester play Wigan at home on 27 October 2026 · 19:45 at King Power Stadium (Leicester). For us, Leicester (67%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.

Leicester vs Wigan: tip and prediction
Handicap
Wigan +1.5 (Asian handicap)
1.80
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.52
Combo
Leicester + over 2.5 goals combined
2.06
48% · fair odds for the combo
54%Chance
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Leicester or draw (1X): 87% probability, best odds 1.13.

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Leicester vs Wigan: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Leicester are 10th in the table, on 19 points after 13 matches (5W 4D 4L), and Wigan are 21st, on 11 points (3W 2D 9L).
  2. Attack and defence. On average Leicester score 1.5 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.5; for Wigan the figures are 0.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Leicester: 4W 3D 4L, goals 17–17; Wigan: 2W 1D 8L, goals 8–17.
  4. Head to head. From 4 meetings: 3 wins for Leicester, 0 wins for Wigan and 1 draw, with the goals at 9–2.

What to expect

For us, Leicester are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–0 (10.3%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.52), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 55% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 63% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 4; Leicester 3 wins, 1 draw, Wigan 0 wins.
  2. An average of 2.8 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Leicester 17–17, Wigan 8–17.
  4. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 63%.
  5. Out: Leicester 0, Wigan 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 58%, best price 1.63). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Leicester: no absences. Absent for Wigan: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Leicester vs Wigan: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price1.425.207.50
Market average1.384.876.93
Lowest odds1.344.405.90
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.171.1382.2%
Over 2.5 goals1.521.4862.6%
Under 2.5 goals2.642.4837.4%
Over 3.5 goals2.342.2441.8%
BTTS – yes1.751.6955.0%
BTTS – no2.202.0645.0%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.6%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Leicester 2–0 Wigan, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Leicester 10th (19 points), Wigan 21st (11 points).
  • Form in the competition: Leicester 4W 3D 4L (17:17), Wigan 2W 1D 8L (8:17).
  • H2H: 4 matches: Leicester 3W 1D 0L, goals 9–2.
  • Absences: Leicester 0, Wigan 0.

Who will win Leicester vs Wigan?

Leicester67%
Draw19%
Wigan13%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Leicester vs Wigan: more betting tips

Leicester or draw (1X)86.5% · fair odds 1.16 · best 1.13
Likely
Over 1.5 goals82.2% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.17
Likely
Leicester to win67.4% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.42
Likely
Over 2.5 goals62.6% · fair odds 1.60 · best 1.52
Likely
Under 3.5 goals58.2% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.63
Possible
BTTS – yes55.0% · fair odds 1.82 · best 1.75
Possible
BTTS – no45.0% · fair odds 2.22 · best 2.20
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals41.8% · fair odds 2.39 · best 2.34
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals37.4% · fair odds 2.67 · best 2.64
Outsider
Draw19.1% · fair odds 5.23 · best 5.20
Outsider
Wigan to win13.5% · fair odds 7.42 · best 7.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 11.5 corners
Over 2.05 · Under 1.70
probability of over 45.4%

Correct score prediction

2 : 010.3%
2 : 19.7%
1 : 08.9%
1 : 18.5%
3 : 07.9%
3 : 17.5%

Leicester vs Wigan: team news and absences

Leicester

  • No reported absences

Wigan

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Huddersfield148-5-128:1229
2Stockport County148-2-426:1426
3Oxford United137-5-122:1126
4Luton147-3-427:2124
5Plymouth147-2-521:1923
6Reading146-4-425:1522
7Bradford136-4-310:822
8Cambridge United145-6-321:2121
9Sheffield Wednesday135-5-322:1420
10Leicester135-4-422:1919
11Mansfield Town135-4-420:1819
12Milton Keynes Dons134-6-322:2018
13Wycombe134-6-321:2318
14Leyton Orient135-2-619:1417
15Burton Albion144-5-518:2117
16Stevenage124-4-417:1316
17Notts County123-5-413:1414
18AFC Wimbledon133-4-69:2113
19Blackpool123-3-617:2112
20Doncaster133-3-714:2212
21Wigan143-2-911:2211
22Peterborough132-4-711:2310
23Barnsley122-3-712:229
24Bromley132-3-813:339

Recent matches

Leicester

31 OctDLeicester 2–2 Stevenage
27 OctWLeicester 3–0 Wigan
24 OctLLuton 2–1 Leicester
20 OctWBromley 0–4 Leicester
17 OctWLeicester 2–1 Doncaster

Wigan

3 NovDWigan 0–0 Mansfield Town
31 OctWWigan 3–2 Bromley
27 OctLLeicester 3–0 Wigan
24 OctLHuddersfield 2–1 Wigan
20 OctLOxford United 2–1 Wigan

Home and away

Leicester at home7 matches: 3W 1D 3L, goals 11–12
Wigan away7 matches: 0W 1D 6L, goals 4–12

Team comparison

LeicesterWigan
70%Form30%
75%Attack25%
46%Defence54%
88%Head to head13%
75%Goals25%
68.0%Overall32.2%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

LeicesterDWLWW
WiganDWLLL

Head to head

All matches
3Leicester
1Draws
0Wigan
27/10/26 · Leicester 3–0 Wigan
4/1/20 · Leicester 2–0 Wigan
1/4/14 · Wigan 2–2 Leicester
14/9/13 · Leicester 2–0 Wigan

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.6%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Leicester vs Wigan?

Wigan +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.80); Over 2.5 goals (1.52).

Who will win Leicester vs Wigan?

We estimate: Leicester win 67%, draw 19%, Wigan win 13%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 27 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: King Power Stadium, Leicester.

Who will be missing?

Leicester: no absences. Wigan: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 63% (odds 1.52); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 37% (odds 2.64).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 55% (odds 1.75).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 2–0 as most likely (10.3%), then 2–1 (9.7%) and 1–0 (8.9%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Leicester vs Bradford 14 NovWigan vs Barnsley 14 NovSheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth 14 NovAFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool 14 NovMilton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion 14 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.