Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Aston Villa v Viking: 21 October 2026 · 20:00 at Villa Park (Birmingham), with Sebastian Gishamer refereeing. We have Aston Villa (75%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Aston Villa vs Viking: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Aston Villa are 6th in the table, on 9 points after 4 matches (3W 0D 1L), and Viking are 22nd, on 4 points (1W 1D 2L).
- Head to head. From 1 meetings: 1 win for Aston Villa, 0 wins for Viking and 0 draws, with the goals at 3–1.
What to expect
For us, Aston Villa are the more likely winners. We estimate a 3–1 score, roughly 4 goals in all, with 2–1 (8.5%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.57), and we rate it at 60%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 60% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 75% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 1; Aston Villa 1 win, 0 draws, Viking 0 wins.
- An average of 4.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 75%.
- Out: Aston Villa 0, Viking 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 60%, best price 1.57). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Aston Villa: no absences. Absent for Viking: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Aston Villa vs Viking: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.31 | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| Market average | 1.28 | 6.47 | 9.35 |
| Lowest odds | 1.25 | 6.00 | 8.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.07 | 1.04 | 89.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.24 | 75.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 4.00 | 3.75 | 24.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.74 | 1.69 | 56.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.54 | 60.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.35 | 39.6% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 21/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Aston Villa 2–1 Viking, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Aston Villa 6th (9 points), Viking 22nd (4 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Aston Villa 1W 0D 0L, goals 3–1.
- Absences: Aston Villa 0, Viking 0.
Who will win Aston Villa vs Viking?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Aston Villa vs Viking: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Aston Villa vs Viking: team news and absences
Aston Villa
- No reported absences
Viking
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 4 | 4-0-0 | 20:5 | 12 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 4 | 4-0-0 | 13:7 | 12 |
| 3 |  Arsenal | 4 | 3-1-0 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Como | 4 | 3-0-1 | 19:6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Barcelona | 4 | 3-0-1 | 14:6 | 9 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 4 | 3-0-1 | 12:6 | 9 |
| 7 |  Manchester City | 4 | 3-0-1 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 8 |  Liverpool | 4 | 3-0-1 | 14:10 | 9 |
| 9 |  Club Brugge KV | 4 | 3-0-1 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 10 |  Sporting CP | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 11 |  Real Betis | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 3-0-1 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 13 |  Bayern München | 4 | 2-2-0 | 12:5 | 8 |
| 14 |  VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 2-1-1 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 15 |  Inter | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:6 | 6 |
| 16 |  Lask Linz | 4 | 2-0-2 | 10:9 | 6 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Galatasaray | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 19 |  Fenerbahçe | 4 | 1-2-1 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 20 |  AS Roma | 4 | 1-1-2 | 10:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 22 | Viking | 4 | 1-1-2 | 9:10 | 4 |
| 23 |  Atlético Madrid | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 24 |  PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 25 |  Bodø/Glimt | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 26 |  FC Porto | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 27 |  Napoli | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 28 |  Villarreal | 4 | 1-0-3 | 8:14 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 4 | 1-0-3 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 4 | 1-0-3 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 31 |  Sabah FA | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 32 |  Feyenoord | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 33 |  Lens | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:16 | 3 |
| 34 |  Slavia Praha | 4 | 0-1-3 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lille | 4 | 0-1-3 | 4:10 | 1 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 4 | 0-0-4 | 1:17 | 0 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Aston Villa vs Viking?
Aston Villa -1.75 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Both teams to score (1.57).
Who will win Aston Villa vs Viking?
We estimate: Aston Villa win 75%, draw 15%, Viking win 10%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 21 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Villa Park, Birmingham. Referee: Sebastian Gishamer.
Who will be missing?
Aston Villa: no absences. Viking: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 75% (odds 1.28); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 25% (odds 4.00).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 60% (odds 1.57).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (8.5%), then 3–1 (8.2%) and 2–0 (8.1%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.