Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Aston Villa against Fulham on 31 October 2026 · 20:00 at Villa Park (Birmingham), and Samuel Barrott will referee. Aston Villa (47%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Aston Villa vs Fulham: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Aston Villa are 10th in the table, on 12 points after 9 matches (3W 3D 3L), and Fulham are 15th, on 9 points (2W 3D 4L).
- Attack and defence. On average Aston Villa score 1.1 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.5; for Fulham the figures are 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Aston Villa: 3W 2D 3L, goals 9–12; Fulham: 2W 2D 4L, goals 8–10.
- Head to head. From 26 meetings: 12 wins for Aston Villa, 9 wins for Fulham and 5 draws, with the goals at 33–28.
What to expect
For us, Aston Villa are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.7%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and we rate it at 57%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 57% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 54% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 26; Aston Villa 12 wins, 5 draws, Fulham 9 wins.
- An average of 2.3 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Aston Villa 9–12, Fulham 8–10.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 54%.
- Out: Aston Villa 3, Fulham 1.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 57%, best price 1.67). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Aston Villa: A. Onana, M. Ruggeri, A. Wan-Bissaka. Absent for Fulham: R. Sessegnon. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Aston Villa vs Fulham: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.16 | 3.75 | 3.75 |
| Market average | 2.04 | 3.57 | 3.54 |
| Lowest odds | 1.92 | 3.30 | 3.28 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.24 | 76.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.86 | 1.79 | 53.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.06 | 46.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.93 | 32.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.63 | 56.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.16 | 43.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 17:22. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.5%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Aston Villa 1–1 Fulham, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Aston Villa 10th (12 points), Fulham 15th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Aston Villa 3W 2D 3L (9:12), Fulham 2W 2D 4L (8:10).
- H2H: 26 matches: Aston Villa 12W 5D 9L, goals 33–28.
- Absences: Aston Villa 3, Fulham 1.
Who will win Aston Villa vs Fulham?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Aston Villa vs Fulham: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Aston Villa vs Fulham: team news and absences
Aston Villa
- A. Onanaknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Ruggerimuscle injury · will miss the match
- A. Wan-Bissakamuscle injury · will miss the match
Fulham
- R. Sessegnonred card · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Everton | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Aston Villa
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Aston VillaDWWDWFulhamDWWLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Aston Villa vs Fulham?
Fulham +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.93); Both teams to score (1.67).
Who will win Aston Villa vs Fulham?
We estimate: Aston Villa win 47%, draw 27%, Fulham win 27%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Villa Park, Birmingham. Referee: Samuel Barrott.
Who will be missing?
Aston Villa: A. Onana, M. Ruggeri, A. Wan-Bissaka. Fulham: R. Sessegnon. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.86); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 46% (odds 2.20).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 57% (odds 1.67).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.7%), then 1–0 (9.7%) and 2–1 (9.3%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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