Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Viking v Fredrikstad: 17 October 2026 · 17:00 at SR-Bank Arena (Stavanger), with Marius Grøtta, Norway refereeing. We have Viking (70%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Viking vs Fredrikstad: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Viking are 1st in the table, on 59 points after 25 matches (19W 2D 4L), and Fredrikstad are 11th, on 29 points (8W 5D 12L).
- Head to head. From 9 meetings: 6 wins for Viking, 1 win for Fredrikstad and 2 draws, with the goals at 17–9.
What to expect
For us, Viking are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–1 (9.4%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.62), and we rate it at 58%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 58% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 68% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 9; Viking 6 wins, 2 draws, Fredrikstad 1 win.
- An average of 2.9 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 68%.
- Out: Viking 0, Fredrikstad 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 58%, best price 1.62). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Viking: no absences. Absent for Fredrikstad: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Viking vs Fredrikstad: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.38 | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| Market average | 1.34 | 5.46 | 7.11 |
| Lowest odds | 1.27 | 5.00 | 6.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.09 | 85.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.36 | 68.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.92 | 31.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.04 | 1.97 | 47.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.58 | 58.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.23 | 41.5% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 17/10/26, 12:15. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.2%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Viking 2–1 Fredrikstad, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Viking 1st (59 points), Fredrikstad 11th (29 points).
- H2H: 9 matches: Viking 6W 2D 1L, goals 17–9.
- Absences: Viking 0, Fredrikstad 0.
Who will win Viking vs Fredrikstad?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Viking vs Fredrikstad: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Viking vs Fredrikstad: team news and absences
Viking
- No reported absences
Fredrikstad
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 | Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Viking
Home and away
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Viking vs Fredrikstad?
Fredrikstad +1.5 (Asian handicap) (2.08); Both teams to score (1.62).
Who will win Viking vs Fredrikstad?
We estimate: Viking win 70%, draw 17%, Fredrikstad win 13%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 17 October 2026, kick-off: 17:00, venue: SR-Bank Arena, Stavanger. Referee: Marius Grøtta, Norway.
Who will be missing?
Viking: no absences. Fredrikstad: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 68% (odds 1.40); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 32% (odds 3.10).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 58% (odds 1.62).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (9.4%), then 2–0 (9.4%) and 3–1 (7.9%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.