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Chance Liga · Matchweek 13 · 1 November 2026 · 14:00

Baník Ostrava vs Plzeň: prediction, tip and odds, 1 November 2026, Chance Liga

0–4
WLWWL
1Baník Ostrava4.20
XDraw4.08
2Plzeň1.81

Best price · Updated 1/11/26, 13:21

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Played: final score 0–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Baník Ostrava v Plzeň: 1 November 2026 · 14:00 at Městský stadion ve Vítkovicích (Ostrava), with Jan Všetečka refereeing. We have Plzeň (53%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

Baník Ostrava vs Plzeň: tip and prediction
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.57
Result
Plzeň to win
1.81
Combo
Plzeň + over 2.5 goals combined
2.80
36% · fair odds for the combo
62%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Plzeň (X2): 77% probability, best odds 1.25.

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Baník Ostrava vs Plzeň: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Baník Ostrava are 13th in the table, on 11 points after 12 matches (3W 2D 7L), and Plzeň are 10th, on 19 points (5W 4D 4L).
  2. Attack and defence. On average Baník Ostrava score 0.6 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.6; for Plzeň the figures are 2.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Baník Ostrava: 3W 2D 6L, goals 7–18; Plzeň: 4W 4D 4L, goals 24–21.
  4. Head to head. From 22 meetings: 3 wins for Baník Ostrava, 15 wins for Plzeň and 4 draws, with the goals at 14–40.

What to expect

For us, Plzeň are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.5%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 60% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 59% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 22; Baník Ostrava 3 wins, 4 draws, Plzeň 15 wins.
  2. An average of 2.5 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Baník Ostrava 7–18, Plzeň 24–21.
  4. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 59%.
  5. Out: Baník Ostrava 0, Plzeň 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 60%, best price 1.62). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Baník Ostrava: no absences. Absent for Plzeň: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Baník Ostrava vs Plzeň: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price4.204.081.81
Market average4.023.821.76
Lowest odds3.673.401.70
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1680.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.621.5859.2%
Under 2.5 goals2.372.3040.8%
Over 3.5 goals2.572.4438.2%
BTTS – yes1.621.5559.6%
BTTS – no2.372.3040.4%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 1/11/26, 13:21. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.1%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Baník Ostrava 1–1 Plzeň, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Baník Ostrava 13th (11 points), Plzeň 10th (19 points).
  • Form in the competition: Baník Ostrava 3W 2D 6L (7:18), Plzeň 4W 4D 4L (24:21).
  • H2H: 22 matches: Baník Ostrava 3W 4D 15L, goals 14–40.
  • Absences: Baník Ostrava 0, Plzeň 0.

Who will win Baník Ostrava vs Plzeň?

Baník Ostrava23%
Draw24%
Plzeň53%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Baník Ostrava vs Plzeň: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals80.1% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.20
Likely
Draw or Plzeň (X2)77.0% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.25
Likely
Under 3.5 goals61.8% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.57
Likely
BTTS – yes59.6% · fair odds 1.68 · best 1.62
Possible
Over 2.5 goals59.2% · fair odds 1.69 · best 1.62
Possible
Plzeň to win52.7% · fair odds 1.90 · best 1.81
Possible
Under 2.5 goals40.8% · fair odds 2.45 · best 2.37
Outsider
BTTS – no40.4% · fair odds 2.48 · best 2.37
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals38.2% · fair odds 2.62 · best 2.57
Outsider
Draw24.3% · fair odds 4.12 · best 4.08
Outsider
Baník Ostrava to win23.0% · fair odds 4.34 · best 4.20
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.04 · Under 1.70
probability of over 45.5%

Correct score prediction

1 : 110.5%
1 : 29.7%
0 : 18.8%
0 : 28.1%
2 : 16.3%
1 : 36.0%

Baník Ostrava vs Plzeň: team news and absences

Baník Ostrava

  • No reported absences

Plzeň

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Slavia Praha139-4-032:731
2Mladá Boleslav137-3-322:1524
3Sigma Olomouc137-3-322:1524
4Sparta Praha137-2-425:1323
5Slovan Liberec127-2-315:823
6Teplice136-3-421:1821
7FK Jablonec136-2-516:1820
8Bohemians 1905135-5-315:1420
9Zbrojovka Brno136-2-516:1920
10Plzeň135-4-428:2119
11Hradec Králové134-3-612:1815
12Pardubice134-2-715:1914
13Baník Ostrava123-2-77:2211
14Artis132-4-714:2410
15Slovácko131-4-812:267
16Zlín130-3-1011:263

Recent matches

Baník Ostrava

1 NovLBaník Ostrava 0–4 Plzeň
18 OctDBaník Ostrava 0–0 Sparta Praha
10 OctLBohemians 1905 1–0 Baník Ostrava
19 SeptDSlovácko 2–2 Baník Ostrava
13 SeptLBaník Ostrava 1–2 Pardubice

Plzeň

1 NovWBaník Ostrava 0–4 Plzeň
25 OctLPlzeň 1–2 Pardubice
22 OctLPlzeň 1–2 Levski Sofia
18 OctWFK Jablonec 2–3 Plzeň
15 OctLFerencvárosi TC 2–1 Plzeň

Home and away

Baník Ostrava at home6 matches: 2W 1D 3L, goals 3–10
Plzeň away6 matches: 3W 2D 1L, goals 16–9

Team comparison

Baník OstravaPlzeň
25%Form75%
23%Attack77%
53%Defence47%
40%Head to head60%
36%Goals64%
33.7%Overall66.3%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

Baník OstravaLDLDL
PlzeňWLWWL

Head to head

All matches
3Baník Ostrava
4Draws
15Plzeň
1/11/26 · Baník Ostrava 0–4 Plzeň
25/4/26 · Baník Ostrava 0–1 Plzeň
26/10/25 · Plzeň 2–0 Baník Ostrava
11/5/25 · Plzeň 1–2 Baník Ostrava
16/3/25 · Plzeň 0–1 Baník Ostrava
19/10/24 · Baník Ostrava 1–3 Plzeň

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.1%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Baník Ostrava vs Plzeň?

Under 3.5 goals (1.57); Plzeň to win (1.81).

Who will win Baník Ostrava vs Plzeň?

We estimate: Baník Ostrava win 23%, draw 24%, Plzeň win 53%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 1 November 2026, kick-off: 14:00, venue: Městský stadion ve Vítkovicích, Ostrava. Referee: Jan Všetečka.

Who will be missing?

Baník Ostrava: no absences. Plzeň: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.62); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 41% (odds 2.37).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 60% (odds 1.62).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.5%), then 1–2 (9.7%) and 0–1 (8.8%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Zlín vs Slovácko 7 NovSlovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905 7 NovHradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc 7 NovZbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava 7 NovTeplice vs Pardubice 8 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.