Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Plzeň v Levski Sofia: 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Doosan Arena (Pilsner), with Alejandro Hernández refereeing. We have Plzeň (55%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Plzeň vs Levski Sofia: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Plzeň are 33rd in the table, on 0 points after 3 matches (0W 0D 3L), and Levski Sofia are 17th, on 4 points (1W 1D 1L).
- Head to head. From 1 meetings: 0 wins for Plzeň, 1 win for Levski Sofia and 0 draws, with the goals at 1–2.
What to expect
For us, Plzeň are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.2%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
What stands out is that the table favours the Levski Sofia, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the home side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.75), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 54% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 53% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 1; Plzeň 0 wins, 0 draws, Levski Sofia 1 win.
- An average of 3.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 53%.
- Out: Plzeň 0, Levski Sofia 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 54%, best price 1.75). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Plzeň: no absences. Absent for Levski Sofia: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Plzeň vs Levski Sofia: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.78 | 4.00 | 4.90 |
| Market average | 1.73 | 3.86 | 4.68 |
| Lowest odds | 1.70 | 3.63 | 4.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.24 | 76.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.86 | 1.80 | 52.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.10 | 2.02 | 47.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.09 | 2.90 | 32.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.73 | 53.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 2.02 | 46.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 22/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.2%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Plzeň 1–1 Levski Sofia, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Plzeň 33rd (0 points), Levski Sofia 17th (4 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Plzeň 0W 0D 1L, goals 1–2.
- Absences: Plzeň 0, Levski Sofia 0.
Who will win Plzeň vs Levski Sofia?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Plzeň vs Levski Sofia: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Plzeň vs Levski Sofia: team news and absences
Plzeň
- No reported absences
Levski Sofia
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 4 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union Saint-Gilloise | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Rennes | 4 | 1-3-0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 13 |  Lyon | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 | Levski Sofia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrøm | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznań | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 | Plzeň | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Plzeň vs Levski Sofia?
Over 2.5 goals (1.86); Plzeň to win (1.78).
Who will win Plzeň vs Levski Sofia?
We estimate: Plzeň win 55%, draw 25%, Levski Sofia win 20%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 22 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Doosan Arena, Pilsner. Referee: Alejandro Hernández.
Who will be missing?
Plzeň: no absences. Levski Sofia: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.86); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 47% (odds 2.10).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 54% (odds 1.75).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.2%), then 1–0 (11.2%) and 2–1 (9.8%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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