Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Baník Ostrava against Sparta Praha on 18 October 2026 · 14:00 at Městský stadion ve Vítkovicích (Ostrava), and Dalibor Černý will referee. Sparta Praha (57%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Baník Ostrava are 13th in the table, on 11 points after 12 matches (3W 2D 7L), and Sparta Praha are 4th, on 23 points (7W 2D 4L).
What to expect
For us, Sparta Praha are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.2%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.52), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 58% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 59% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 59%.
- Out: Baník Ostrava 0, Sparta Praha 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, best price 1.60). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Baník Ostrava: no absences. Absent for Sparta Praha: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 4.82 | 4.37 | 1.65 |
| Market average | 4.59 | 4.06 | 1.63 |
| Lowest odds | 4.40 | 3.90 | 1.62 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.16 | 79.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.58 | 59.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.29 | 40.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.42 | 38.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.59 | 58.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.22 | 41.7% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 18/10/26, 12:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.9%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Baník Ostrava 1–1 Sparta Praha, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Baník Ostrava 13th (11 points), Sparta Praha 4th (23 points).
- Absences: Baník Ostrava 0, Sparta Praha 0.
Who will win Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha: team news and absences
Baník Ostrava
- No reported absences
Sparta Praha
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 13 | 9-4-0 | 32:7 | 31 |
| 2 |  Mladá Boleslav | 13 | 7-3-3 | 22:15 | 24 |
| 3 |  Sigma Olomouc | 13 | 7-3-3 | 22:15 | 24 |
| 4 | Sparta Praha | 13 | 7-2-4 | 25:13 | 23 |
| 5 |  Slovan Liberec | 12 | 7-2-3 | 15:8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Teplice | 13 | 6-3-4 | 21:18 | 21 |
| 7 |  FK Jablonec | 13 | 6-2-5 | 16:18 | 20 |
| 8 |  Bohemians 1905 | 13 | 5-5-3 | 15:14 | 20 |
| 9 |  Zbrojovka Brno | 13 | 6-2-5 | 16:19 | 20 |
| 10 |  Plzeň | 13 | 5-4-4 | 28:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Hradec Králové | 13 | 4-3-6 | 12:18 | 15 |
| 12 |  Pardubice | 13 | 4-2-7 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 13 | Baník Ostrava | 12 | 3-2-7 | 7:22 | 11 |
| 14 |  Artis | 13 | 2-4-7 | 14:24 | 10 |
| 15 |  Slovácko | 13 | 1-4-8 | 12:26 | 7 |
| 16 |  Zlín | 13 | 0-3-10 | 11:26 | 3 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha?
Baník Ostrava +1 (Asian handicap) (1.78); Under 3.5 goals (1.52).
Who will win Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha?
We estimate: Baník Ostrava win 20%, draw 23%, Sparta Praha win 57%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 18 October 2026, kick-off: 14:00, venue: Městský stadion ve Vítkovicích, Ostrava. Referee: Dalibor Černý.
Who will be missing?
Baník Ostrava: no absences. Sparta Praha: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.60); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 41% (odds 2.38).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 58% (odds 1.62).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.2%), then 1–2 (9.9%) and 0–1 (9.2%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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