Premier League
Home › Predictions › Sparta Praha vs Slovácko
Chance Liga · Matchweek 12 · 25 October 2026 · 14:00

Sparta Praha vs Slovácko: prediction, tip and odds, 25 October 2026, Chance Liga

5–1
1Sparta Praha1.29
XDraw6.21
2Slovácko10.50

Best price · Updated 25/10/26, 13:15

FreshbetBet with Freshbet →
TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 5–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Sparta Praha v Slovácko: 25 October 2026 · 14:00 at Stadion Letná (Prague), with Antonín Bohata refereeing. We have Sparta Praha (74%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

Sparta Praha vs Slovácko: tip and prediction
Handicap
Slovácko +2 (Asian handicap)
1.72
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.53
Combo
Sparta Praha + over 2.5 goals combined
1.86
54% · fair odds for the combo
59%Chance
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Sparta Praha or draw (1X): 90% probability, best odds 1.07. With short odds on the result, a goals tip alongside it is our suggestion.

Bet now →

Sparta Praha vs Slovácko: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Sparta Praha are 4th in the table, on 23 points after 13 matches (7W 2D 4L), and Slovácko are 15th, on 7 points (1W 4D 8L).
  2. Attack and defence. On average Sparta Praha score 1.8 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.1; for Slovácko the figures are 0.9 scored and 1.6 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Sparta Praha: 6W 1D 4L, goals 20–12; Slovácko: 1W 4D 6L, goals 10–18.
  4. Head to head. From 21 meetings: 12 wins for Sparta Praha, 5 wins for Slovácko and 4 draws, with the goals at 43–24.

What to expect

For us, Sparta Praha are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–0 (11.5%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

Odds of 1.29 on the result do not offer much, so it is worth turning to the goals markets: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.53), which we rate at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 51% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 64% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 21; Sparta Praha 12 wins, 4 draws, Slovácko 5 wins.
  2. An average of 3.2 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Sparta Praha 20–12, Slovácko 10–18.
  4. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 64%.
  5. Out: Sparta Praha 0, Slovácko 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 57%, best price 1.67). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Sparta Praha: no absences. Absent for Slovácko: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Sparta Praha vs Slovácko: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price1.296.2110.50
Market average1.265.669.60
Lowest odds1.225.009.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.171.1282.9%
Over 2.5 goals1.531.4663.9%
Under 2.5 goals2.662.5836.1%
Over 3.5 goals2.272.1942.8%
BTTS – yes2.001.8450.6%
BTTS – no1.951.8849.4%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 25/10/26, 13:15. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.6%.

All bookmakers →

At a glance

  • Likely result: Sparta Praha 2–0 Slovácko, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Sparta Praha 4th (23 points), Slovácko 15th (7 points).
  • Form in the competition: Sparta Praha 6W 1D 4L (20:12), Slovácko 1W 4D 6L (10:18).
  • H2H: 21 matches: Sparta Praha 12W 4D 5L, goals 43–24.
  • Absences: Sparta Praha 0, Slovácko 0.

Who will win Sparta Praha vs Slovácko?

Sparta Praha74%
Draw16%
Slovácko10%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Sparta Praha vs Slovácko: more betting tips

Sparta Praha or draw (1X)90.3% · fair odds 1.11 · best 1.07
Likely
Over 1.5 goals82.9% · fair odds 1.21 · best 1.17
Likely
Sparta Praha to win73.8% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.29
Likely
Over 2.5 goals63.9% · fair odds 1.57 · best 1.53
Likely
Under 3.5 goals57.2% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.67
Possible
BTTS – yes50.6% · fair odds 1.98 · best 2.00
Possible
BTTS – no49.4% · fair odds 2.02 · best 1.95
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals42.8% · fair odds 2.33 · best 2.27
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals36.1% · fair odds 2.77 · best 2.66
Outsider
Draw16.5% · fair odds 6.07 · best 6.21
Outsider
Slovácko to win9.7% · fair odds 10.30 · best 10.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.98 · Under 1.75
probability of over 46.9%

Correct score prediction

2 : 011.5%
3 : 09.6%
1 : 09.2%
2 : 19.2%
3 : 17.7%
1 : 17.4%

Sparta Praha vs Slovácko: team news and absences

Sparta Praha

  • No reported absences

Slovácko

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Slavia Praha139-4-032:731
2Mladá Boleslav137-3-322:1524
3Sigma Olomouc137-3-322:1524
4Sparta Praha137-2-425:1323
5Slovan Liberec127-2-315:823
6Teplice136-3-421:1821
7FK Jablonec136-2-516:1820
8Bohemians 1905135-5-315:1420
9Zbrojovka Brno136-2-516:1920
10Plzeň135-4-428:2119
11Hradec Králové134-3-612:1815
12Pardubice134-2-715:1914
13Baník Ostrava123-2-77:2211
14Artis132-4-714:2410
15Slovácko131-4-812:267
16Zlín130-3-1011:263

Recent matches

Sparta Praha

1 NovDBohemians 1905 0–0 Sparta Praha
25 OctWSparta Praha 5–1 Slovácko
22 OctLOlympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Sparta Praha
18 OctDBaník Ostrava 0–0 Sparta Praha
15 OctDSparta Praha 1–1 Lillestrøm

Slovácko

31 OctLSlovácko 1–3 Teplice
25 OctLSparta Praha 5–1 Slovácko
18 OctLSlovácko 1–2 Zbrojovka Brno
11 OctWSlovan Liberec 0–2 Slovácko
19 SeptDSlovácko 2–2 Baník Ostrava

Home and away

Sparta Praha at home6 matches: 5W 0D 1L, goals 16–6
Slovácko away7 matches: 1W 1D 5L, goals 6–16

Team comparison

Sparta PrahaSlovácko
67%Form33%
62%Attack38%
75%Defence25%
85%Head to head15%
68%Goals32%
73.0%Overall27.0%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

Sparta PrahaDWDWW
SlováckoLLLWD

Head to head

All matches
12Sparta Praha
4Draws
5Slovácko
25/10/26 · Sparta Praha 5–1 Slovácko
15/3/26 · Sparta Praha 5–2 Slovácko
19/10/25 · Slovácko 0–0 Sparta Praha
2/2/25 · Slovácko 0–2 Sparta Praha
24/8/24 · Sparta Praha 2–2 Slovácko
5/5/24 · Slovácko 2–4 Sparta Praha

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.6%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Sparta Praha vs Slovácko?

Slovácko +2 (Asian handicap) (1.72); Over 2.5 goals (1.53).

Who will win Sparta Praha vs Slovácko?

We estimate: Sparta Praha win 74%, draw 16%, Slovácko win 10%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 25 October 2026, kick-off: 14:00, venue: Stadion Letná, Prague. Referee: Antonín Bohata.

Who will be missing?

Sparta Praha: no absences. Slovácko: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 64% (odds 1.53); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 36% (odds 2.66).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 51% (odds 2.00).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 2–0 as most likely (11.5%), then 3–0 (9.6%) and 1–0 (9.2%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Zlín vs Slovácko 7 NovSlovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905 7 NovHradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc 7 NovZbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava 7 NovTeplice vs Pardubice 8 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.