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UEFA Europa League · league phase, matchday 3 · 22 October 2026 · 20:00

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha: prediction, tip and odds, 22 October 2026, UEFA Europa League

1Olympiakos Piraeus1.52
XDraw4.60
2Sparta Praha7.00

Best price · Updated 22/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Olympiakos Piraeus v Sparta Praha: 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Karaiskakis Stadium (Piraeus), with Espen Eskås refereeing. We have Olympiakos Piraeus (64%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha: tip and prediction
Handicap
Olympiakos Piraeus -1 (Asian handicap)
1.86
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.79
Combo
Olympiakos Piraeus + over 2.5 goals combined
2.43
41% · fair odds for the combo
53%Chance
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Olympiakos Piraeus or draw (1X): 85% probability, best odds 1.13.

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Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Olympiakos Piraeus are 1st in the table, on 10 points after 4 matches (3W 1D 0L), and Sparta Praha are 16th, on 4 points (1W 1D 1L).
  2. Head to head. From 1 meetings: 1 win for Olympiakos Piraeus, 0 wins for Sparta Praha and 0 draws, with the goals at 1–0.

What to expect

For us, Olympiakos Piraeus are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–0 (11.6%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.79), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 50% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 54% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 1; Olympiakos Piraeus 1 win, 0 draws, Sparta Praha 0 wins.
  2. An average of 1.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 54%.
  4. Out: Olympiakos Piraeus 0, Sparta Praha 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 50%, best price 1.91). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Olympiakos Piraeus: no absences. Absent for Sparta Praha: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price1.524.607.00
Market average1.494.406.50
Lowest odds1.444.005.80
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.261.2376.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.791.7554.3%
Under 2.5 goals2.132.0845.7%
Over 3.5 goals2.972.8133.5%
BTTS – yes1.911.8550.4%
BTTS – no1.911.8849.6%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 22/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.5%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Olympiakos Piraeus 2–0 Sparta Praha, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Olympiakos Piraeus 1st (10 points), Sparta Praha 16th (4 points).
  • H2H: 1 match: Olympiakos Piraeus 1W 0D 0L, goals 1–0.
  • Absences: Olympiakos Piraeus 0, Sparta Praha 0.

Who will win Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha?

Olympiakos Piraeus64%
Draw22%
Sparta Praha15%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha: more betting tips

Olympiakos Piraeus or draw (1X)85.4% · fair odds 1.17 · best 1.13
Likely
Over 1.5 goals76.8% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.26
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.5% · fair odds 1.50 · best 1.44
Likely
Olympiakos Piraeus to win63.8% · fair odds 1.57 · best 1.52
Likely
Over 2.5 goals54.3% · fair odds 1.84 · best 1.79
Possible
BTTS – yes50.4% · fair odds 1.99 · best 1.91
Possible
BTTS – no49.6% · fair odds 2.01 · best 1.91
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals45.7% · fair odds 2.19 · best 2.13
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals33.5% · fair odds 2.98 · best 2.97
Outsider
Draw21.6% · fair odds 4.63 · best 4.60
Outsider
Sparta Praha to win14.6% · fair odds 6.85 · best 7.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.89 · Under 1.85
probability of over 49.4%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 2.11 · Under 1.68
probability of over 44.4%

Correct score prediction

2 : 011.6%
1 : 011.6%
2 : 19.8%
1 : 19.8%
3 : 07.7%
3 : 16.6%

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha: team news and absences

Olympiakos Piraeus

  • No reported absences

Sparta Praha

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Olympiakos Piraeus43-1-04:110
2Benfica33-0-010:29
3Bayer Leverkusen33-0-08:09
4Bournemouth33-0-08:19
5Ferencvárosi TC33-0-09:39
6Union Saint-Gilloise32-1-08:17
7Juventus32-1-09:37
8Beşiktaş32-1-09:57
9Sunderland32-1-04:27
10AZ Alkmaar32-0-16:26
11Omonia Nicosia32-0-15:46
12Rennes41-3-04:36
13Lyon32-0-15:66
14Real Sociedad31-1-18:34
15Crystal Palace31-1-18:54
16Sparta Praha31-1-15:34
17Levski Sofia31-1-13:34
18Dinamo Zagreb31-1-13:44
19Sturm Graz31-1-11:34
20NEC Nijmegen31-1-15:84
21Red Bull Salzburg31-1-13:64
22Anderlecht31-0-24:33
231899 Hoffenheim31-0-25:53
24AC Milan31-0-24:53
25Celta Vigo31-0-23:43
26OFI31-0-23:43
27Jagiellonia31-0-24:63
28Torreense31-0-24:73
29Celje30-1-22:71
30Hapoel Beer Sheva30-1-21:61
31Lillestrøm30-1-22:91
32Lech Poznań30-1-21:91
33Plzeň30-0-32:70
34Marseille30-0-31:60
35Celtic30-0-33:90
36Ararat-Armenia30-0-32:110

Recent matches

Olympiakos Piraeus

4 NovDRennes 0–0 Olympiakos Piraeus
22 OctWOlympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Sparta Praha
15 OctWMarseille 0–1 Olympiakos Piraeus
16 SeptWOlympiakos Piraeus 2–1 Jagiellonia

Sparta Praha

1 NovDBohemians 1905 0–0 Sparta Praha
25 OctWSparta Praha 5–1 Slovácko
22 OctLOlympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Sparta Praha
18 OctDBaník Ostrava 0–0 Sparta Praha
15 OctDSparta Praha 1–1 Lillestrøm

Home and away

Olympiakos Piraeus at home2 matches: 2W 0D 0L, goals 3–1
Sparta Praha away2 matches: 1W 0D 1L, goals 4–2

Head to head

All matches
1Olympiakos Piraeus
0Draws
0Sparta Praha
22/10/26 · Olympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Sparta Praha

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.5%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha?

Olympiakos Piraeus -1 (Asian handicap) (1.86); Over 2.5 goals (1.79).

Who will win Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha?

We estimate: Olympiakos Piraeus win 64%, draw 22%, Sparta Praha win 15%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 22 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus. Referee: Espen Eskås.

Who will be missing?

Olympiakos Piraeus: no absences. Sparta Praha: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.79); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 46% (odds 2.13).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 50% (odds 1.91).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 2–0 as most likely (11.6%), then 1–0 (11.6%) and 2–1 (9.8%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

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18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.