Bet with Freshbet →It is Bayern München against 1. FC Köln on 20 November 2026 · 19:30 at Allianz Arena (Munich). Bayern München (89%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Bayern München are 1st in the table, on 18 points after 8 matches (5W 3D 0L), and 1. FC Köln are 13th, on 9 points (2W 3D 3L).
What to expect
For us, Bayern München are the more likely winners. We estimate a 4–1 score, roughly 5 goals in all, with 3–0 (9.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
Odds of 1.09 on the result do not offer much, so it is worth turning to the goals markets: Both teams to score (odds 1.85), which we rate at 51%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 51% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 83% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 5 goals; over 2.5 goals: 83%.
- Out: Bayern München 0, 1. FC Köln 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 51%, best price 1.85). With roughly 5 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Bayern München: no absences. Absent for 1. FC Köln: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.09 | 17.50 | 32.00 |
| Market average | 1.07 | 13.35 | 26.40 |
| Lowest odds | 1.06 | 11.25 | 23.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.04 | 1.03 | 91.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.13 | 82.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 5.50 | 5.34 | 17.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.42 | 1.39 | 67.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.82 | 51.2% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.91 | 48.8% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 1/11/26, 17:11. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.6%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Bayern München 3–0 1. FC Köln, roughly 5 goals in total.
- Table: Bayern München 1st (18 points), 1. FC Köln 13th (9 points).
- Absences: Bayern München 0, 1. FC Köln 0.
Who will win Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln: team news and absences
Bayern München
- No reported absences
1. FC Köln
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln?
Both teams to score (1.85); Bayern München to win (1.09).
Who will win Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln?
We estimate: Bayern München win 89%, draw 7%, 1. FC Köln win 4%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 20 November 2026, kick-off: 19:30, venue: Allianz Arena, Munich.
Who will be missing?
Bayern München: no absences. 1. FC Köln: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 83% (odds 1.16); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 17% (odds 5.50).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 51% (odds 1.85).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 3–0 as most likely (9.8%), then 4–0 (9.2%) and 2–0 (7.8%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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