RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg: prediction, tip and odds, 7 November 2026, Bundesliga

RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg betting prediction

RB Leipzig host FC Augsburg in Bundesliga matchweek nine, on 7 November 2026 at 14:30 at the Red Bull Arena, which holds 47800. The bookmakers expect about four goals in total, with Leipzig around 3 and Augsburg around 1. Over 2.5 goals sits at 75%, and the most likely exact score is 2-1 at 8.8%. Our view is that Leipzig should win.

Where the goals are likely to come from

Leipzig have scored 2.8 goals per match in this competition and conceded 1.4. Augsburg have scored 2.3 and conceded 1.9. Those figures tell most of the story. Leipzig score a lot and keep the ball out well enough, while Augsburg trade goals at both ends. The expected-goals split of 3 to 1 backs that picture, and the market's total of about four goals follows from it.

Leipzig's attack against an Augsburg defence that leaks

The home record is the number we keep coming back to. In this competition Leipzig have won all four home games, scoring 18 and conceding none. That is a side that punishes teams at home. Augsburg's away record in the same competition is one win, no draws and two defeats, with nine scored and eight conceded. Against a side that averages 2.8 goals per match in this competition, that is a hard job for ninety minutes.

Form in all competitions, not just this table

The table covers this competition only, so it does not show how the teams have played lately. Across all competitions, Leipzig have won 3 of their last five, lost 2, and scored 9 while conceding 10. Augsburg have not won any of their last five. They have drawn 2 and lost 3, scoring 9 and conceding 12. Leipzig's recent defeats came against Real Madrid and Bayern München, so those were not soft losses, but the gap between the two sets of results is still plain.

Meetings that have gone Leipzig's way

Leipzig have won 14 of the last 24 meetings, drawn 7 and lost 3, scoring 48 goals to Augsburg's 20. The most recent meeting ended 2-1 to Leipzig, on 7 March 2026. Before that came a 6-0 win on 25 October 2025 and a 0-0 draw on 14 February 2025. The record is lopsided, but it is not a one-way street. Augsburg have won 3 of the 24 meetings, and a 2-2 draw in February 2024 is the kind of game that keeps Augsburg in the conversation.

No absences reported on either side

Neither club has reported any absences, so the teams should be close to full strength. That removes one variable and leaves the match to the form and the numbers the league table shows.

How we would bet it: Augsburg with a goal start

Our main tip is FC Augsburg +1.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.81 (chance 55%). At +1.5 the bet wins unless FC Augsburg lose by 2 or more. We admit this is a narrow call. The market gives it 55%, and nothing in the figures we have pushes that number much higher. We like it because a defeat by one goal still returns a win for this bet. Leipzig winning by two or more is the outcome that beats us, and their home record makes that a real risk, so the stake should reflect that.

Another tip: Over 3.5 goals

Our second tip is Over 3.5 goals at odds 1.73 (chance 57%). Leipzig have had more than 2.5 goals in 3 of their last five matches in all competitions, and Augsburg have had more than 2.5 in 4 of their last five. The expected total is about four goals, and the market puts this line at 57%. We do not think this is a comfortable bet. Four goals is the expected total, not a floor, and a 2-1 or 1-1 finish loses it. Still, it is the better value of the two totals we looked at, because the arithmetic of both teams' recent games supports it.

Other bets we would look at

• Over 2.5 goals at odds 1.29 (chance 75%). This is the safest route to the goals theme, and it sits comfortably alongside our main tip.
• Both teams to score at odds 1.40 (chance 68%). Augsburg have scored in every recent game they have played.
• FC Augsburg +2 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.46 (chance 67%). At +2 the bet wins unless FC Augsburg lose by 3 or more, and a defeat by exactly 2 returns the stake. It is the cautious way to back Augsburg.

Our likeliest score: 2-1 to Leipzig

The most likely exact score is 2-1 to Leipzig. That result wins our main tip and loses the over 3.5 goals tip, which is exactly the kind of split we expect here. Leipzig should win, Augsburg should score, and neither side should run away with it.