Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
1. FC Köln play FC Schalke 04 at home on 24 October 2026 · 14:30 at RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne); the referee is Harm Osmers, Germany. For us, 1. FC Köln (46%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. 1. FC Köln are 13th in the table, on 9 points after 8 matches (2W 3D 3L), and FC Schalke 04 are 17th, on 6 points (1W 3D 4L).
- Attack and defence. On average 1. FC Köln score 1.3 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.8; for FC Schalke 04 the figures are 0.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. 1. FC Köln: 2W 1D 3L, goals 8–11; FC Schalke 04: 1W 2D 3L, goals 4–7.
- Head to head. From 24 meetings: 11 wins for 1. FC Köln, 5 wins for FC Schalke 04 and 8 draws, with the goals at 38–32.
What to expect
For us, 1. FC Köln are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.0%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51), and we rate it at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 60% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 57% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 24; 1. FC Köln 11 wins, 8 draws, FC Schalke 04 5 wins.
- An average of 2.9 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: 1. FC Köln 8–11, FC Schalke 04 4–7.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 57%.
- Out: 1. FC Köln 5, FC Schalke 04 5.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 60%, best price 1.62). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for 1. FC Köln: T. Dallinga, T. Hubers, E. Skhiri, R. van den Berg, R. Ache. Absent for FC Schalke 04: K. Karaman, D. Ljubicic, R. Schallenberg, M. Sylla, M. Wober. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.15 | 3.92 | 3.47 |
| Market average | 2.08 | 3.74 | 3.32 |
| Lowest odds | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.19 | 78.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.72 | 1.67 | 57.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.34 | 2.23 | 42.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.73 | 2.59 | 36.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.56 | 59.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.31 | 40.4% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 12:03. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.0%.
At a glance
- Likely result: 1. FC Köln 1–1 FC Schalke 04, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: 1. FC Köln 13th (9 points), FC Schalke 04 17th (6 points).
- Form in the competition: 1. FC Köln 2W 1D 3L (8:11), FC Schalke 04 1W 2D 3L (4:7).
- H2H: 24 matches: 1. FC Köln 11W 8D 5L, goals 38–32.
- Absences: 1. FC Köln 5, FC Schalke 04 5.
Who will win 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04: team news and absences
1. FC Köln
- T. Dallingaknee injury · will miss the match
- T. Hubersknee injury · will miss the match
- E. Skhiriankle injury · will miss the match
- R. van den Bergmuscle injury · will miss the match
- R. Achethigh injury · doubtful
FC Schalke 04
- K. Karamanmuscle injury · will miss the match
- D. Ljubicicknee injury · will miss the match
- R. Schallenbergabsence · will miss the match
- M. Syllaabsence · will miss the match
- M. Wobermuscle injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
1. FC Köln
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
1. FC KölnDDLWLFC Schalke 04LDLLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04?
FC Schalke 04 +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.68); Under 3.5 goals (1.51).
Who will win 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04?
We estimate: 1. FC Köln win 46%, draw 25%, FC Schalke 04 win 29%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 14:30, venue: RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne. Referee: Harm Osmers, Germany.
Who will be missing?
1. FC Köln: T. Dallinga, T. Hubers, E. Skhiri, R. van den Berg, R. Ache. FC Schalke 04: K. Karaman, D. Ljubicic, R. Schallenberg, M. Sylla, M. Wober. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.72); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 43% (odds 2.34).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 60% (odds 1.62).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.0%), then 2–1 (9.4%) and 1–0 (8.5%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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