Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Bristol City against Wolves on 4 November 2026 · 20:00 at Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol), and Tom Nield will referee. Wolves (45%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Bristol City vs Wolves: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Bristol City are 15th in the table, on 18 points after 14 matches (5W 3D 6L), and Wolves are 2nd, on 27 points (8W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. On average Bristol City score 1.2 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.3; for Wolves the figures are 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Bristol City: 5W 3D 5L, goals 15–17; Wolves: 7W 3D 3L, goals 23–16.
- Head to head. From 12 meetings: 2 wins for Bristol City, 9 wins for Wolves and 1 draw, with the goals at 16–25.
What to expect
For us, Wolves are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (12.3%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.75), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 54% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 49% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 12; Bristol City 2 wins, 1 draw, Wolves 9 wins.
- An average of 3.4 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Bristol City 15–17, Wolves 23–16.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 49%.
- Out: Bristol City 3, Wolves 5.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 54%, best price 1.75). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Bristol City: N. Eile, E. Adebayo, R. Dickie. Absent for Wolves: R. Jimenez, G. Konan, N. Djiga, B. Traore, B. Traore. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Bristol City vs Wolves: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.64 | 3.55 | 2.14 |
| Market average | 3.43 | 3.41 | 2.07 |
| Lowest odds | 3.16 | 3.16 | 2.05 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.27 | 73.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.99 | 1.91 | 49.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.92 | 1.87 | 50.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.22 | 29.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.72 | 54.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.03 | 46.0% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 4/11/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.8%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Bristol City 1–1 Wolves, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Bristol City 15th (18 points), Wolves 2nd (27 points).
- Form in the competition: Bristol City 5W 3D 5L (15:17), Wolves 7W 3D 3L (23:16).
- H2H: 12 matches: Bristol City 2W 1D 9L, goals 16–25.
- Absences: Bristol City 3, Wolves 5.
Who will win Bristol City vs Wolves?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Bristol City vs Wolves: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Bristol City vs Wolves: team news and absences
Bristol City
- N. Eileillness · will miss the match
- E. Adebayonot in the squad · doubtful
- R. Dickieknee injury · doubtful
Wolves
- R. Jimenezknee injury · will miss the match
- G. Konanknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Djigagroin injury · doubtful
- B. Traoreinjury · doubtful
- B. Traoreinjury · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 | Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 |  Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 14 | 5-2-7 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 14 | 1-4-9 | 11:29 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
Bristol City
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Bristol CityLWDLLWolvesWWWDWHead to head
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Bristol City vs Wolves?
Bristol City or draw (1X) (1.78); Both teams to score (1.75).
Who will win Bristol City vs Wolves?
We estimate: Bristol City win 27%, draw 27%, Wolves win 45%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 4 November 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol. Referee: Tom Nield.
Who will be missing?
Bristol City: N. Eile, E. Adebayo, R. Dickie. Wolves: R. Jimenez, G. Konan, N. Djiga, B. Traore, B. Traore. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 1.99); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 51% (odds 1.92).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 54% (odds 1.75).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.3%), then 0–1 (11.1%) and 1–2 (9.2%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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