Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Borussia Mönchengladbach play SC Paderborn 07 at home on 31 October 2026 · 14:30 at Borussia-Park (Mönchengladbach); the referee is Timo Gerach. For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Borussia Mönchengladbach are 18th in the table, on 4 points after 8 matches (1W 1D 6L), and SC Paderborn 07 are 14th, on 9 points (2W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. On average Borussia Mönchengladbach score 1.6 goals a match in the competition and concede 3.1; for SC Paderborn 07 the figures are 0.9 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Borussia Mönchengladbach: 1W 0D 6L, goals 11–22; SC Paderborn 07: 2W 2D 3L, goals 6–9.
- Head to head. From 8 meetings: 6 wins for Borussia Mönchengladbach, 1 win for SC Paderborn 07 and 1 draw, with the goals at 14–5.
What to expect
For us, Borussia Mönchengladbach are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.3%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
What stands out is that the table favours the SC Paderborn 07, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the home side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.47), and we rate it at 65%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 65% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 62% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 8; Borussia Mönchengladbach 6 wins, 1 draw, SC Paderborn 07 1 win.
- An average of 2.4 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Borussia Mönchengladbach 11–22, SC Paderborn 07 6–9.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 62%.
- Out: Borussia Mönchengladbach 7, SC Paderborn 07 7.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals (probability 62%, best price 1.57). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Borussia Mönchengladbach: H. Bolin, K. Diks, F. Fleck, F. Honorat, T. Kleindienst, E. Leopold, J. Leszczynski. Absent for SC Paderborn 07: N. Awortwie-Grant, O. Batista Meier, T. Gayret, M. Hoffmeier, S. Klaas, S. Michel, G. Vidovic. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.27 | 4.05 | 3.18 |
| Market average | 2.16 | 3.77 | 3.05 |
| Lowest odds | 1.98 | 3.46 | 2.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.14 | 81.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.52 | 62.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.57 | 2.47 | 38.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.30 | 41.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.47 | 1.43 | 64.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.80 | 2.64 | 35.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 14:09. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 SC Paderborn 07, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Borussia Mönchengladbach 18th (4 points), SC Paderborn 07 14th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1W 0D 6L (11:22), SC Paderborn 07 2W 2D 3L (6:9).
- H2H: 8 matches: Borussia Mönchengladbach 6W 1D 1L, goals 14–5.
- Absences: Borussia Mönchengladbach 7, SC Paderborn 07 7.
Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07: team news and absences
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- H. Bolinmuscle injury · will miss the match
- K. Diksabsence · will miss the match
- F. Fleckmuscle injury · will miss the match
- F. Honoratmuscle injury · will miss the match
- T. Kleindienstmuscle injury · will miss the match
- E. Leopoldknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Leszczynskiknee injury · will miss the match
SC Paderborn 07
- N. Awortwie-Grantknee injury · will miss the match
- O. Batista Meierankle injury · will miss the match
- T. Gayretknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Hoffmeiermuscle injury · will miss the match
- S. Klaasmuscle injury · will miss the match
- S. Michelinjury · doubtful
- G. Vidovicfoot injury · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 | SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Borussia MönchengladbachDWLLLSC Paderborn 07DWDLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07?
Draw or SC Paderborn 07 (X2) (1.84); Both teams to score (1.47).
Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07?
We estimate: Borussia Mönchengladbach win 44%, draw 25%, SC Paderborn 07 win 31%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 14:30, venue: Borussia-Park, Mönchengladbach. Referee: Timo Gerach.
Who will be missing?
Borussia Mönchengladbach: H. Bolin, K. Diks, F. Fleck, F. Honorat, T. Kleindienst, E. Leopold, J. Leszczynski. SC Paderborn 07: N. Awortwie-Grant, O. Batista Meier, T. Gayret, M. Hoffmeier, S. Klaas, S. Michel, G. Vidovic. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.57); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 38% (odds 2.57).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 65% (odds 1.47).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.3%), then 2–1 (9.1%) and 1–2 (7.5%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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