Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
SC Paderborn 07 play Hamburger SV at home on 24 October 2026 · 14:30 at Home Deluxe Arena (Paderborn); the referee is Martin Petersen. For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. SC Paderborn 07 are 14th in the table, on 9 points after 8 matches (2W 3D 3L), and Hamburger SV are 15th, on 9 points (3W 0D 5L).
- Attack and defence. On average SC Paderborn 07 score 0.8 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.5; for Hamburger SV the figures are 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. SC Paderborn 07: 1W 2D 3L, goals 5–9; Hamburger SV: 3W 0D 3L, goals 6–15.
- Head to head. From 16 meetings: 7 wins for SC Paderborn 07, 7 wins for Hamburger SV and 2 draws, with the goals at 26–25.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–1 score estimate, roughly 3 goals in all, and 1–1 (11.0%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 62% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 59% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 16; SC Paderborn 07 7 wins, 2 draws, Hamburger SV 7 wins.
- An average of 3.2 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: SC Paderborn 07 5–9, Hamburger SV 6–15.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 59%.
- Out: SC Paderborn 07 5, Hamburger SV 2.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 62%, best price 1.53). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for SC Paderborn 07: N. Awortwie-Grant, O. Batista Meier, T. Gayret, M. Hoffmeier, S. Klaas. Absent for Hamburger SV: N. Remberg, M. Vuskovic. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.46 | 3.86 | 2.92 |
| Market average | 2.39 | 3.65 | 2.80 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.63 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.18 | 79.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.68 | 1.61 | 58.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.29 | 41.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.51 | 37.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.50 | 62.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.46 | 37.9% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 12:03. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.1%.
At a glance
- Likely result: SC Paderborn 07 1–1 Hamburger SV, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: SC Paderborn 07 14th (9 points), Hamburger SV 15th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: SC Paderborn 07 1W 2D 3L (5:9), Hamburger SV 3W 0D 3L (6:15).
- H2H: 16 matches: SC Paderborn 07 7W 2D 7L, goals 26–25.
- Absences: SC Paderborn 07 5, Hamburger SV 2.
Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV: team news and absences
SC Paderborn 07
- N. Awortwie-Grantknee injury · will miss the match
- O. Batista Meierankle injury · will miss the match
- T. Gayretknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Hoffmeiermuscle injury · will miss the match
- S. Klaasmuscle injury · will miss the match
Hamburger SV
- N. Rembergknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Vuskovicabsence · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 | SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 | Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
SC Paderborn 07
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
SC Paderborn 07DWDLWHamburger SVLLWWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV?
Hamburger SV +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.85); Under 3.5 goals (1.57).
Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV?
We estimate: SC Paderborn 07 win 40%, draw 26%, Hamburger SV win 34%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 14:30, venue: Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn. Referee: Martin Petersen.
Who will be missing?
SC Paderborn 07: N. Awortwie-Grant, O. Batista Meier, T. Gayret, M. Hoffmeier, S. Klaas. Hamburger SV: N. Remberg, M. Vuskovic. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.68); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 41% (odds 2.38).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 62% (odds 1.53).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.0%), then 2–1 (8.8%) and 1–2 (8.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.