Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
VfB Stuttgart play Borussia Mönchengladbach at home on 23 October 2026 · 19:30 at MHP Arena (Stuttgart); the referee is Matthias Jöllenbeck. For us, VfB Stuttgart (72%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. VfB Stuttgart are 11th in the table, on 9 points after 8 matches (3W 0D 5L), and Borussia Mönchengladbach are 18th, on 4 points (1W 1D 6L).
- Attack and defence. On average VfB Stuttgart score 1.3 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.7; for Borussia Mönchengladbach the figures are 1.3 scored and 3.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. VfB Stuttgart: 2W 0D 4L, goals 8–10; Borussia Mönchengladbach: 0W 0D 6L, goals 8–20.
- Head to head. From 31 meetings: 13 wins for VfB Stuttgart, 13 wins for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 5 draws, with the goals at 47–47.
What to expect
For us, VfB Stuttgart are the more likely winners. We estimate a 3–1 score, roughly 4 goals in all, with 2–1 (8.7%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 63% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 75% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 31; VfB Stuttgart 13 wins, 5 draws, Borussia Mönchengladbach 13 wins.
- An average of 3.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: VfB Stuttgart 8–10, Borussia Mönchengladbach 8–20.
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 75%.
- Out: VfB Stuttgart 5, Borussia Mönchengladbach 9.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 63%, best price 1.50). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for VfB Stuttgart: J. Diehl, N. Nartey, T. Tomas, J. Vagnoman, D. Zagadou. Absent for Borussia Mönchengladbach: J. Castrop, F. Fleck, F. Honorat, K. Itakura, T. Kleindienst, N. Kuhn, E. Leopold, J. Leszczynski, I. Lidberg. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.36 | 6.40 | 8.75 |
| Market average | 1.32 | 5.97 | 7.91 |
| Lowest odds | 1.29 | 5.50 | 7.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.09 | 1.06 | 88.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.26 | 75.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.90 | 3.77 | 25.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.74 | 1.70 | 55.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.47 | 63.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.53 | 36.8% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 23/10/26, 18:17. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.0%.
At a glance
- Likely result: VfB Stuttgart 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: VfB Stuttgart 11th (9 points), Borussia Mönchengladbach 18th (4 points).
- Form in the competition: VfB Stuttgart 2W 0D 4L (8:10), Borussia Mönchengladbach 0W 0D 6L (8:20).
- H2H: 31 matches: VfB Stuttgart 13W 5D 13L, goals 47–47.
- Absences: VfB Stuttgart 5, Borussia Mönchengladbach 9.
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: team news and absences
VfB Stuttgart
- J. Diehlmuscle injury · will miss the match
- N. Narteythigh injury · will miss the match
- T. Tomasmuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. Vagnomanmuscle injury · will miss the match
- D. Zagadoumuscle injury · will miss the match
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- J. Castropshoulder injury · will miss the match
- F. Fleckmuscle injury · will miss the match
- F. Honoratmuscle injury · will miss the match
- K. Itakuraankle injury · will miss the match
- T. Kleindienstmuscle injury · will miss the match
- N. Kuhnmuscle injury · will miss the match
- E. Leopoldknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Leszczynskiknee injury · will miss the match
- I. Lidbergthigh injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
VfB Stuttgart
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
VfB StuttgartWLLWLBorussia MönchengladbachDWLLLHead to head
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Borussia Mönchengladbach +1.75 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
We estimate: VfB Stuttgart win 72%, draw 16%, Borussia Mönchengladbach win 12%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 23 October 2026, kick-off: 19:30, venue: MHP Arena, Stuttgart. Referee: Matthias Jöllenbeck.
Who will be missing?
VfB Stuttgart: J. Diehl, N. Nartey, T. Tomas, J. Vagnoman, D. Zagadou. Borussia Mönchengladbach: J. Castrop, F. Fleck, F. Honorat, K. Itakura, T. Kleindienst, N. Kuhn, E. Leopold, J. Leszczynski, I. Lidberg. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 75% (odds 1.29); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 25% (odds 3.90).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 63% (odds 1.50).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (8.7%), then 3–1 (8.1%) and 2–0 (7.5%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.