Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Werder Bremen against SC Paderborn 07 on 17 October 2026 · 14:30 at Weser-Stadion (Bremen), and Robert Schröder, Germany will referee. Werder Bremen (55%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Werder Bremen are 5th in the table, on 15 points after 8 matches (4W 3D 1L), and SC Paderborn 07 are 14th, on 9 points (2W 3D 3L).
What to expect
For us, Werder Bremen are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–1 (9.7%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.52), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 62% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 63% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 63%.
- Out: Werder Bremen 0, SC Paderborn 07 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 62%, best price 1.55). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Werder Bremen: no absences. Absent for SC Paderborn 07: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.80 | 4.36 | 4.42 |
| Market average | 1.75 | 4.21 | 4.24 |
| Lowest odds | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.12 | 82.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.52 | 1.49 | 63.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.69 | 2.53 | 37.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.34 | 2.24 | 42.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.50 | 62.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.45 | 38.0% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 17/10/26, 12:01. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.5%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Werder Bremen 2–1 SC Paderborn 07, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Werder Bremen 5th (15 points), SC Paderborn 07 14th (9 points).
- Absences: Werder Bremen 0, SC Paderborn 07 0.
Who will win Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07: team news and absences
Werder Bremen
- No reported absences
SC Paderborn 07
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 | SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?
SC Paderborn 07 +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.96); Over 2.5 goals (1.52).
Who will win Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?
We estimate: Werder Bremen win 55%, draw 23%, SC Paderborn 07 win 23%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 17 October 2026, kick-off: 14:30, venue: Weser-Stadion, Bremen. Referee: Robert Schröder, Germany.
Who will be missing?
Werder Bremen: no absences. SC Paderborn 07: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 63% (odds 1.52); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 37% (odds 2.69).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 62% (odds 1.55).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (9.7%), then 1–1 (9.7%) and 2–0 (7.8%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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