Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Carrarese v Arezzo: 28 October 2026 · 19:00 at Stadio dei Marmi (Carrara), with Maco Di Loreto refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Carrarese vs Arezzo: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Carrarese are 15th in the table, on 10 points after 10 matches (3W 1D 6L), and Arezzo are 13th, on 11 points (3W 2D 5L).
- Attack and defence. On average Carrarese score 0.9 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.1; for Arezzo the figures are 1.0 scored and 2.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Carrarese: 2W 1D 5L, goals 7–9; Arezzo: 3W 1D 4L, goals 8–17.
- Head to head. From 10 meetings: 3 wins for Carrarese, 4 wins for Arezzo and 3 draws, with the goals at 17–16.
What to expect
For us, Carrarese are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (12.3%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.80), and we rate it at 53%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 53% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 49% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 10; Carrarese 3 wins, 3 draws, Arezzo 4 wins.
- An average of 3.3 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Carrarese 7–9, Arezzo 8–17.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 49%.
- Out: Carrarese 0, Arezzo 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 53%, best price 1.80). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Carrarese: no absences. Absent for Arezzo: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Carrarese vs Arezzo: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.15 | 3.24 | 3.85 |
| Market average | 2.13 | 3.18 | 3.63 |
| Lowest odds | 2.08 | 3.10 | 3.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.27 | 73.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.98 | 1.94 | 49.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.90 | 1.87 | 50.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.21 | 29.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.75 | 53.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.01 | 1.98 | 46.9% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 28/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.1%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Carrarese 1–1 Arezzo, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Carrarese 15th (10 points), Arezzo 13th (11 points).
- Form in the competition: Carrarese 2W 1D 5L (7:9), Arezzo 3W 1D 4L (8:17).
- H2H: 10 matches: Carrarese 3W 3D 4L, goals 17–16.
- Absences: Carrarese 0, Arezzo 0.
Who will win Carrarese vs Arezzo?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Carrarese vs Arezzo: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Carrarese vs Arezzo: team news and absences
Carrarese
- No reported absences
Arezzo
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 | Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 | Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Carrarese
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
CarrareseLWLWWArezzoDLLWDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Carrarese vs Arezzo?
Arezzo +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.78); Both teams to score (1.80).
Who will win Carrarese vs Arezzo?
We estimate: Carrarese win 44%, draw 30%, Arezzo win 26%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 28 October 2026, kick-off: 19:00, venue: Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara. Referee: Maco Di Loreto.
Who will be missing?
Carrarese: no absences. Arezzo: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 1.98); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 51% (odds 1.90).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 53% (odds 1.80).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.3%), then 1–0 (11.1%) and 2–1 (9.2%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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