Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Arezzo against Ascoli on 1 November 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Città di Arezzo (Arezzo), and Mattia Drigo will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Arezzo vs Ascoli: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Arezzo are 13th in the table, on 11 points after 10 matches (3W 2D 5L), and Ascoli are 3rd, on 19 points (5W 4D 1L).
- Attack and defence. On average Arezzo score 1.0 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.1; for Ascoli the figures are 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Arezzo: 3W 1D 5L, goals 9–19; Ascoli: 5W 3D 1L, goals 16–6.
- Head to head. From 6 meetings: 2 wins for Arezzo, 2 wins for Ascoli and 2 draws, with the goals at 6–5.
What to expect
For us, Ascoli are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (12.2%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.75), and we rate it at 55%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 55% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 51% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 6; Arezzo 2 wins, 2 draws, Ascoli 2 wins.
- An average of 1.8 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Arezzo 9–19, Ascoli 16–6.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 51%.
- Out: Arezzo 0, Ascoli 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 55%, best price 1.75). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Arezzo: no absences. Absent for Ascoli: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Arezzo vs Ascoli: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.70 | 3.47 | 2.17 |
| Market average | 3.41 | 3.34 | 2.09 |
| Lowest odds | 3.19 | 3.19 | 2.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.25 | 74.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.94 | 1.86 | 50.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.98 | 1.92 | 49.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.30 | 3.09 | 30.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.69 | 55.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.11 | 2.06 | 45.0% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 1/11/26, 12:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.3%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Arezzo 1–1 Ascoli, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Arezzo 13th (11 points), Ascoli 3rd (19 points).
- Form in the competition: Arezzo 3W 1D 5L (9:19), Ascoli 5W 3D 1L (16:6).
- H2H: 6 matches: Arezzo 2W 2D 2L, goals 6–5.
- Absences: Arezzo 0, Ascoli 0.
Who will win Arezzo vs Ascoli?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Arezzo vs Ascoli: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Arezzo vs Ascoli: team news and absences
Arezzo
- No reported absences
Ascoli
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 | Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 | Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Arezzo
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
ArezzoDLLWDAscoliDWWDDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Arezzo vs Ascoli?
Over 2.5 goals (1.94); Draw or Ascoli (X2) (1.34).
Who will win Arezzo vs Ascoli?
We estimate: Arezzo win 27%, draw 28%, Ascoli win 45%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 1 November 2026, kick-off: 14:00, venue: Stadio Città di Arezzo, Arezzo. Referee: Mattia Drigo.
Who will be missing?
Arezzo: no absences. Ascoli: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.94); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 49% (odds 1.98).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 55% (odds 1.75).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.2%), then 0–1 (10.6%) and 1–2 (9.1%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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