Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Rayo Vallecano against Celta Vigo on 31 October 2026 · 15:15 at Estadio de Vallecas (Madrid), and Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Rayo Vallecano are 12th in the table, on 12 points after 10 matches (3W 3D 4L), and Celta Vigo are 10th, on 12 points (2W 6D 3L).
- Attack and defence. On average Rayo Vallecano score 1.3 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.2; for Celta Vigo the figures are 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Rayo Vallecano: 2W 3D 4L, goals 12–20; Celta Vigo: 2W 6D 2L, goals 10–7.
- Head to head. From 21 meetings: 10 wins for Rayo Vallecano, 5 wins for Celta Vigo and 6 draws, with the goals at 29–26.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (13.0%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.76), and we rate it at 56%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 51% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 44% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 21; Rayo Vallecano 10 wins, 6 draws, Celta Vigo 5 wins.
- An average of 2.6 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Rayo Vallecano 12–20, Celta Vigo 10–7.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 44%.
- Out: Rayo Vallecano 4, Celta Vigo 6.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 51%, best price 1.84). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Rayo Vallecano: A. Batalla, P. Ciss, Luiz Felipe, A. Ratiu. Absent for Celta Vigo: H. F. Cuenca Martinez, J. El Abdellaoui, B. Iglesias, A. Nunez, M. Roman, C. Starfelt. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.59 | 3.34 | 3.10 |
| Market average | 2.48 | 3.18 | 2.96 |
| Lowest odds | 2.36 | 2.96 | 2.70 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.39 | 1.37 | 68.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.23 | 2.15 | 44.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.71 | 55.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.00 | 3.80 | 24.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.84 | 1.82 | 51.2% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.91 | 48.8% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 13:57. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.6%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Celta Vigo, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Rayo Vallecano 12th (12 points), Celta Vigo 10th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Rayo Vallecano 2W 3D 4L (12:20), Celta Vigo 2W 6D 2L (10:7).
- H2H: 21 matches: Rayo Vallecano 10W 6D 5L, goals 29–26.
- Absences: Rayo Vallecano 4, Celta Vigo 6.
Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo: team news and absences
Rayo Vallecano
- A. Batallaabsence · will miss the match
- P. Cissabsence · will miss the match
- Luiz Felipeknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Ratiumuscle injury · doubtful
Celta Vigo
- H. F. Cuenca Martinezmuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. El Abdellaouiknee injury · will miss the match
- B. Iglesiascalf injury · will miss the match
- A. Nunezgroin injury · will miss the match
- M. Romanknee injury · will miss the match
- C. Starfeltmuscle injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Rayo Vallecano
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Rayo VallecanoWLDDWCelta VigoLDWDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
Celta Vigo +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.82); Under 2.5 goals (1.76).
Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
We estimate: Rayo Vallecano win 38%, draw 30%, Celta Vigo win 32%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 15:15, venue: Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid. Referee: Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid.
Who will be missing?
Rayo Vallecano: A. Batalla, P. Ciss, Luiz Felipe, A. Ratiu. Celta Vigo: H. F. Cuenca Martinez, J. El Abdellaoui, B. Iglesias, A. Nunez, M. Roman, C. Starfelt. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 44% (odds 2.23); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 56% (odds 1.76).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 51% (odds 1.84).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (13.0%), then 1–0 (11.3%) and 0–1 (10.4%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.