Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Everton against Chelsea on 17 October 2026 · 12:30 at Hill Dickinson Stadium (Liverpool), and Paul Tierney, England will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Everton vs Chelsea: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Everton are 7th in the table, on 13 points after 9 matches (3W 4D 2L), and Chelsea are 4th, on 16 points (5W 1D 3L).
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–2 score estimate, roughly 3 goals in all, and 1–1 (11.2%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 61% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 58% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 58%.
- Out: Everton 0, Chelsea 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 61%, best price 1.55). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Everton: no absences. Absent for Chelsea: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Everton vs Chelsea: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.10 | 3.84 | 2.40 |
| Market average | 2.98 | 3.66 | 2.30 |
| Lowest odds | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.18 | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.65 | 57.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.26 | 42.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.66 | 2.55 | 36.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.52 | 61.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.45 | 2.39 | 38.9% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 17/10/26, 09:43. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.5%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Everton 1–1 Chelsea, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Everton 7th (13 points), Chelsea 4th (16 points).
- Absences: Everton 0, Chelsea 0.
Who will win Everton vs Chelsea?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Everton vs Chelsea: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Everton vs Chelsea: team news and absences
Everton
- No reported absences
Chelsea
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Everton | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Everton vs Chelsea?
Everton +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.95); Under 3.5 goals (1.53).
Who will win Everton vs Chelsea?
We estimate: Everton win 32%, draw 26%, Chelsea win 42%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 17 October 2026, kick-off: 12:30, venue: Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool. Referee: Paul Tierney, England.
Who will be missing?
Everton: no absences. Chelsea: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.70); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 42% (odds 2.38).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 61% (odds 1.55).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.2%), then 1–2 (8.9%) and 0–1 (8.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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