Clermont Foot vs Rodez: prediction, tip and odds, 7 November 2026, Ligue 2

Clermont Foot vs Rodez betting prediction

Clermont Foot host Rodez at the Stade Gabriel Montpied on 6 November 2026, kick-off 19:00, in Ligue 2 Matchweek 12. The home side sit 17th with 8 points, while Rodez are 11th with 13. On paper that gap favours the visitors, and the market agrees, but we see a match with goals in it and a result that is harder to call than the table suggests. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals, with a second tip on the draw or a Rodez win.

Clermont Foot, still winless in this Ligue 2 table

Clermont have not won a single match in this competition. Their record reads 0 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats from 11 games, and the goals tell the same story: 10 scored, 15 conceded. At home the picture is no better, with 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats, and only 3 goals scored at the Montpied.

Their last five matches in all competitions show the same stubbornness. They drew at Grenoble, lost 2-3 to RED Star FC 93 at home, drew 3-3 at Laval, lost 0-2 at home to Guingamp and drew 1-1 at Nantes. Those are 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats, with 7 goals scored and 10 conceded. Per match in this competition they score 0.9 and concede 1.4, and we do not expect that to change against a side with more attacking edge.

Rodez away, and a defence that leaks

Rodez sit 11th with 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats, and they have scored 17 while conceding 22. Their away record in this table is 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, with 8 goals scored and 11 conceded. Per match they score 1.5 and concede 2.0, which is the number that worries us most about the visitors. They are not short of chances, but they do give them up.

Their last five matches in all competitions are more mixed. They lost 3-4 at home to Nancy, lost 2-0 at Saint-Étienne, lost 0-3 at home to Montpellier, then won 2-1 at Dijon and 1-0 at home to Dunkerque. That makes 2 wins, no draws and 3 defeats, with 6 goals scored and 10 conceded. Two of those defeats came at home, which tells us the form is uneven rather than simply poor. Those five matches belong to all competitions, so they do not match the league table, and the two wins at the end are the more recent evidence.

Six meetings, none decided by more than one goal

The head-to-head record over the last 12 meetings is tight: Clermont have won 4, drawn 4, and Rodez have won 4, with the goals split 13 to 11. The last six results make the point well. Clermont won 2-1 at home in July 2025, Rodez won 2-1 at Clermont on 13 February 2026, and the other four ended 0-1, 1-1, 1-1 and 0-0. Every one of them was settled by a single goal or none at all.

There are no absences to report for either side, so we do not have to guess at selection.

Where the odds point, and what we back

The bookmakers make Rodez the favourites at 2.32, with a 42% chance of a win. Clermont are at 3.15 for a 31% chance, and the draw sits at 3.45 with 27%. The margin on the match result is 7.7%, so the prices are sharp rather than generous. The expected goals are Clermont 1 and Rodez 2, about 3 in total, and the most likely exact scores are 1-1 at 12.0%, 0-1 at 9.6% and 1-2 at 9.0%.

Main tip: Over 2.5 goals at odds 1.83 (chance 53%). We like this because Rodez have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, the expected total is about 3 goals, and the market gives the over 53% at its best odds of 1.83. It is not a bet we would call a certainty, and it is close enough that one goal either way decides it. On the likeliest scores it wins on 1-2 and 2-1, and it loses on 1-1, 0-1, 1-0 and 0-2.

Second tip: Draw or Rodez (X2) at odds 1.40 (chance 69%). Clermont have won none of their last 5 matches, and Rodez sit 11th with 13 points against Clermont's 17th with 8. The market gives this outcome 69% at best odds of 1.40. On the likeliest scores it wins on 1-1, 0-1, 1-2 and 0-2, and it loses on 1-0 and 2-1.

Smaller bets we would add

• Over 1.5 goals at odds 1.28 (chance 76%). It sits comfortably beside our main tip, and the bookmakers rate it highly.
• Clermont Foot +1.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.21 (chance 77%). At +1.5 the bet wins unless Clermont lose by 2 or more, so a narrow Rodez win still pays.
• Rodez +0.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.42 (chance 68%). At +0.5 the bet wins unless Rodez lose by 1 or more, which fits our second tip.

The main tip carries the most risk, and the second tip carries the most comfort. If you want one bet, we would take the draw or Rodez at 1.40. If you want a bigger shot, the over at 1.83 is where we would put the stake. Either way, a match between these two has rarely been settled by more than one goal in this run of meetings.