Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 4–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Como against Manchester United on 21 October 2026 · 17:45 at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como), and Sven Jablonski will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Como vs Manchester United: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Como are 4th in the table, on 9 points after 4 matches (3W 0D 1L), and Manchester United are 17th, on 6 points (2W 0D 2L).
- Head to head. From 1 meetings: 1 win for Como, 0 wins for Manchester United and 0 draws, with the goals at 4–1.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–2 score estimate, roughly 4 goals in all, and 1–1 (10.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 64% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 61% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 1; Como 1 win, 0 draws, Manchester United 0 wins.
- An average of 5.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 61%.
- Out: Como 0, Manchester United 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 64%, best price 1.50). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Como: no absences. Absent for Manchester United: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Como vs Manchester United: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.49 | 3.85 | 2.90 |
| Market average | 2.42 | 3.70 | 2.76 |
| Lowest odds | 2.35 | 3.53 | 2.57 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.15 | 81.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.54 | 61.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.42 | 39.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.49 | 2.37 | 40.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.46 | 63.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.80 | 2.58 | 36.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 21/10/26, 16:39. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.6%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Como 1–1 Manchester United, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Como 4th (9 points), Manchester United 17th (6 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Como 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–1.
- Absences: Como 0, Manchester United 0.
Who will win Como vs Manchester United?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Como vs Manchester United: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Como vs Manchester United: team news and absences
Como
- No reported absences
Manchester United
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 4 | 4-0-0 | 20:5 | 12 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 4 | 4-0-0 | 13:7 | 12 |
| 3 |  Arsenal | 4 | 3-1-0 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Como | 4 | 3-0-1 | 19:6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Barcelona | 4 | 3-0-1 | 14:6 | 9 |
| 6 |  Aston Villa | 4 | 3-0-1 | 12:6 | 9 |
| 7 |  Manchester City | 4 | 3-0-1 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 8 |  Liverpool | 4 | 3-0-1 | 14:10 | 9 |
| 9 |  Club Brugge KV | 4 | 3-0-1 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 10 |  Sporting CP | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 11 |  Real Betis | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 3-0-1 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 13 |  Bayern München | 4 | 2-2-0 | 12:5 | 8 |
| 14 |  VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 2-1-1 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 15 |  Inter | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:6 | 6 |
| 16 |  Lask Linz | 4 | 2-0-2 | 10:9 | 6 |
| 17 | Manchester United | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Galatasaray | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 19 |  Fenerbahçe | 4 | 1-2-1 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 20 |  AS Roma | 4 | 1-1-2 | 10:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 22 |  Viking | 4 | 1-1-2 | 9:10 | 4 |
| 23 |  Atlético Madrid | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 24 |  PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 25 |  Bodø/Glimt | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 26 |  FC Porto | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 27 |  Napoli | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 28 |  Villarreal | 4 | 1-0-3 | 8:14 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 4 | 1-0-3 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 4 | 1-0-3 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 31 |  Sabah FA | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 32 |  Feyenoord | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 33 |  Lens | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:16 | 3 |
| 34 |  Slavia Praha | 4 | 0-1-3 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lille | 4 | 0-1-3 | 4:10 | 1 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 4 | 0-0-4 | 1:17 | 0 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Como vs Manchester United?
Manchester United +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.82); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win Como vs Manchester United?
We estimate: Como win 39%, draw 26%, Manchester United win 35%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 21 October 2026, kick-off: 17:45, venue: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como. Referee: Sven Jablonski.
Who will be missing?
Como: no absences. Manchester United: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.60); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 39% (odds 2.62).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 64% (odds 1.50).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.8%), then 2–1 (8.6%) and 1–2 (8.1%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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