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UEFA Champions League · league phase, matchday 4 · 4 November 2026 · 20:00

Lens vs Como: prediction, tip and odds, 4 November 2026, UEFA Champions League

LLLW
1–9
WWLW
1Lens4.02
XDraw4.02
2Como1.93

Best price · Updated 4/11/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–9. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Lens vs Como: tip and prediction
Our tip
Como to win
2.22

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Lens vs Como betting prediction

Forecast for Lens vs Como: Como clinches the win

We back the Lens versus Como fixture with an away victory at 2.22. The fresh Italian side have emerged as a notable narrative this season, heading to Stade Bollaert‑Delelis brimming with confidence, skill and aspirations of a top‑eight placement.

In their recent run, the team secured victories in five straight competitive fixtures, netting 13 goals while allowing just three. Each of their three Champions League encounters has produced a flurry of goals.
They currently occupy the fourth spot in Serie A and are tackling their inaugural European season with a bold, unrestrained approach.

Lens are moving the other way. The home side have failed to find the net in their previous two Champions League fixtures, have kept a clean sheet in none of their nine Ligue 1 outings this campaign, and will be without the sidelined Édouard. Playing on their own turf plus a 48‑hour recovery window constitute their strongest points.

At 2.22, supporting the in‑form side versus a team struggling to prevent goals presents the best odds. Como has yet to establish a track record on foreign soil – a genuine uncertainty – yet the current momentum of each club clearly favors one direction.

Lens takes on Como: schedule and stadium details

On Wednesday, 4 November 2026, Lens will welcome Como for the fourth match‑day of the Champions League group stage, with the fixture set for 21:00 local time at Stade Bollaert‑Delelis.

In the United Kingdom the match is available on TNT Sports, with streaming via HBO Max. Paramount+ carries it in the United States and DAZN in Canada. Broadcast arrangements can differ by region, so check local listings.

Lens versus Como: Odds and Prime Betting Selections

Odds are almost balanced, showing Lens as slight leaders at home while Como sits at 2.22 – a solid value for a side on a five‑match winning run. Opting for a draw appears the prudent choice.

Each of Como’s European encounters has produced five or more goals, while Lens remains goalless in its continental outings, rendering a goals‑related stake on the hosts unattractive. Our pick: Como to win.

Assessing the recent performance of Lens and Como

Lens’s run in Europe has faltered after a promising beginning, enduring back‑to‑back loss​es without scoring and slipping into the pursuit group, while their domestic standing sits at 27th, having secured only three points across three fixtures, providing scant reassurance.

Como have secured five consecutive triumphs in every contest, boasting a 13‑3 scoring tally during this stretch, and these results have propelled them to fourth place in Serie A, putting them close to the Champions League’s final eight.

Essential Pre‑Game Data for Como & Lens

Lens have been unable to prevent any goals in each of their nine Ligue 1 fixtures so far this campaign – the poorest defensive record among the home teams featured this week – and they have also gone goalless in their previous two European matches.

Each of Como's trio of Champions League fixtures has featured at least five goals, showing that their games remain lively and engaging regardless of dominance.

Lens vs Como H2H History

Lens and Como meet in their inaugural competitive encounter, marking a notable beginning to the Italian club’s European campaign.

Since past encounters offer no clues, recent performance becomes the sole indicator – and by that standard, Como possess all the benefits apart from playing at home.

Latest updates on Lens and Como: fitness concerns, bans and vital squad members

Lens will miss Édouard, losing a key choice for both flanks of the field.

Como will be without Moise Kean, and both Assane Diao and Addai are still on the sidelines – missing players that may reduce their current goal output. Nico Paz continues to be the team's main playmaker, and the individual Lens needs to contain.

Lens vs Como: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price4.024.021.93
Market average3.813.891.90
Lowest odds3.603.601.85
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.191.1681.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.621.5760.5%
Under 2.5 goals2.502.4039.5%
Over 3.5 goals2.442.3840.2%
BTTS – yes1.531.5061.9%
BTTS – no2.502.4538.1%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 4/11/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.7%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Lens 1–1 Como, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Lens 33rd (3 points), Como 4th (9 points).
  • Form in the competition: Lens 1W 0D 2L (3:7), Como 2W 0D 1L (10:5).
  • Absences: Lens 6, Como 8.

Who will win Lens vs Como?

Lens25%
Draw25%
Como50%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Lens vs Como: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals81.0% · fair odds 1.23 · best 1.19
Likely
Draw or Como (X2)74.9% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.29
Likely
BTTS – yes61.9% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.53
Likely
Over 2.5 goals60.5% · fair odds 1.65 · best 1.62
Likely
Under 3.5 goals59.8% · fair odds 1.67 · best 1.66
Possible
Como to win50.3% · fair odds 1.99 · best 1.93
Possible
Over 3.5 goals40.2% · fair odds 2.49 · best 2.44
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals39.5% · fair odds 2.53 · best 2.50
Outsider
BTTS – no38.1% · fair odds 2.63 · best 2.50
Outsider
Lens to win25.1% · fair odds 3.98 · best 4.02
Outsider
Draw24.6% · fair odds 4.07 · best 4.02
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.01 · Under 1.75
probability of over 46.6%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 2.24 · Under 1.62
probability of over 42.0%

Correct score prediction

1 : 110.4%
1 : 29.6%
0 : 18.3%
0 : 27.7%
2 : 16.5%
2 : 26.0%

Lens vs Como: team news and absences

Lens

  • J. Chavezabsence · will miss the match
  • O. Edouardgroin injury · will miss the match
  • I. Ganiouknee injury · will miss the match
  • I. Jourdrennot in the squad · will miss the match
  • M. Nawrockiknee injury · will miss the match
  • A. Simamuscle injury · will miss the match

Como

  • J. Addaimuscle injury · will miss the match
  • T. Chalobahinjury · will miss the match
  • A. Diaothigh injury · will miss the match
  • E. Goldaniganot in the squad · will miss the match
  • W. Kambwalanot in the squad · will miss the match
  • M. Keanabsence · will miss the match
  • A. Lahdonot in the squad · will miss the match
  • J. Rodriguezinjury · will miss the match

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain44-0-020:512
2Real Madrid44-0-013:712
3Arsenal43-1-08:310
4Como43-0-119:69
5Barcelona43-0-114:69
6Aston Villa43-0-112:69
7Manchester City43-0-112:79
8Liverpool43-0-114:109
9Club Brugge KV43-0-111:79
10Sporting CP43-0-18:49
11Real Betis43-0-18:69
12Borussia Dortmund43-0-17:59
13Bayern München42-2-012:58
14VfB Stuttgart42-1-17:47
15Inter42-0-28:66
16Lask Linz42-0-210:96
17Manchester United42-0-28:86
18Galatasaray42-0-28:96
19Fenerbahçe41-2-16:115
20AS Roma41-1-210:84
21Shakhtar Donetsk41-1-24:44
22Viking41-1-29:104
23Atlético Madrid41-1-24:54
24PSV Eindhoven41-1-23:44
25Bodø/Glimt41-1-24:94
26FC Porto41-0-36:73
27Napoli41-0-36:113
28Villarreal41-0-38:143
29AEK Athens FC41-0-35:113
30RB Leipzig41-0-35:113
31Sabah FA41-0-34:103
32Feyenoord41-0-34:113
33Lens41-0-34:163
34Slavia Praha40-1-35:91
35Lille40-1-34:101
36Slovan Bratislava40-0-41:170

Recent matches

Lens

4 NovLLens 1–9 Como
30 OctLLille 1–0 Lens
24 OctWLens 2–1 Paris FC
21 OctLClub Brugge KV 3–0 Lens
17 OctWEstac Troyes 1–3 Lens

Como

4 NovWLens 1–9 Como
1 NovWComo 1–0 Venezia
27 OctWTorino 1–3 Como
24 OctWComo 2–0 Sassuolo
21 OctWComo 4–1 Manchester United

Home and away

Lens at home2 matches: 0W 0D 2L, goals 1–11
Como away2 matches: 1W 0D 1L, goals 11–4

Team comparison

LensComo
33%Form67%
23%Attack77%
42%Defence58%
32.7%Overall67.3%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

LensLLLW
ComoWWLW

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.7%

Questions and answers

Considering an away victory?

Indeed – Como continue to test their mettle abroad in Europe, and Kean’s missing presence is a drawback – yet their recent quintet of triumphs over a team that hasn't kept a clean sheet all season supports the odds.

What do we tip for Lens vs Como?

Como to win (2.22)

Who will win Lens vs Como?

We estimate: Lens win 25%, draw 25%, Como win 50%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 4 November 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens. Referee: Rohit Saggi.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.62); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 39% (odds 2.50).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 62% (odds 1.53).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.4%), then 1–2 (9.6%) and 0–1 (8.3%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.