Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Como play Venezia at home on 1 November 2026 · 11:30 at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como); the referee is Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi. For us, Como (72%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Como vs Venezia: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Como are 4th in the table, on 23 points after 10 matches (7W 2D 1L), and Venezia are 20th, on 3 points (1W 0D 9L).
- Attack and defence. On average Como score 1.9 goals a match in the competition and concede 0.9; for Venezia the figures are 0.7 scored and 2.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Como: 6W 2D 1L, goals 17–8; Venezia: 1W 0D 8L, goals 6–19.
- Head to head. From 7 meetings: 3 wins for Como, 2 wins for Venezia and 2 draws, with the goals at 9–10.
What to expect
For us, Como are the more likely winners. We estimate a 3–1 score, roughly 4 goals in all, with 2–0 (9.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.70), and we rate it at 56%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 56% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 68% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 7; Como 3 wins, 2 draws, Venezia 2 wins.
- An average of 2.7 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Como 17–8, Venezia 6–19.
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 68%.
- Out: Como 5, Venezia 6.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 56%, best price 1.70). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Como: A. Diao, M. Kean, J. Rodriguez, T. Chalobah, M. Liberali. Absent for Venezia: A. Adorante, B. Franjic, M. Sverko, T. Correia, T. J. Helgason, P. Mazzocchi. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Como vs Venezia: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.35 | 6.12 | 9.50 |
| Market average | 1.32 | 5.79 | 8.50 |
| Lowest odds | 1.28 | 5.13 | 6.86 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.10 | 85.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.41 | 1.38 | 67.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.94 | 32.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.08 | 2.01 | 47.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.66 | 56.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.12 | 43.9% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 1/11/26, 06:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.2%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Como 2–0 Venezia, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Como 4th (23 points), Venezia 20th (3 points).
- Form in the competition: Como 6W 2D 1L (17:8), Venezia 1W 0D 8L (6:19).
- H2H: 7 matches: Como 3W 2D 2L, goals 9–10.
- Absences: Como 5, Venezia 6.
Who will win Como vs Venezia?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Como vs Venezia: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Como vs Venezia: team news and absences
Como
- A. Diaothigh injury · will miss the match
- M. Keanabsence · will miss the match
- J. Rodriguezinjury · will miss the match
- T. Chalobahinjury · doubtful
- M. Liberalicalf injury · doubtful
Venezia
- A. Adoranteabsence · will miss the match
- B. Franjicshoulder injury · will miss the match
- M. Sverkohip injury · will miss the match
- T. Correiathigh injury · doubtful
- T. J. Helgasoninjury · doubtful
- P. Mazzocchiinjury · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 | Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 | Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Como
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
ComoWWWWDVeneziaLLLWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Como vs Venezia?
Como -1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Both teams to score (1.70).
Who will win Como vs Venezia?
We estimate: Como win 72%, draw 16%, Venezia win 11%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 1 November 2026, kick-off: 11:30, venue: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como. Referee: Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi.
Who will be missing?
Como: A. Diao, M. Kean, J. Rodriguez, T. Chalobah, M. Liberali. Venezia: A. Adorante, B. Franjic, M. Sverko, T. Correia, T. J. Helgason, P. Mazzocchi. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 68% (odds 1.41); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 32% (odds 3.10).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 56% (odds 1.70).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–0 as most likely (9.8%), then 2–1 (9.3%) and 3–0 (8.3%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.