Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Como v Sassuolo: 24 October 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como), with Davide Di Marco, Italy refereeing. We have Como (64%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Como vs Sassuolo: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Como are 4th in the table, on 23 points after 10 matches (7W 2D 1L), and Sassuolo are 17th, on 8 points (2W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. On average Como score 1.7 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.0; for Sassuolo the figures are 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Como: 4W 2D 1L, goals 12–7; Sassuolo: 2W 2D 3L, goals 12–14.
- Head to head. From 4 meetings: 3 wins for Como, 1 win for Sassuolo and 0 draws, with the goals at 8–2.
What to expect
For us, Como are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–1 (9.6%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 63% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 69% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 4; Como 3 wins, 0 draws, Sassuolo 1 win.
- An average of 2.5 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Como 12–7, Sassuolo 12–14.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 69%.
- Out: Como 5, Sassuolo 5.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 63%, best price 1.50). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Como: T. Chalobah, A. Diao, M. Kean, M. Liberali, J. Rodriguez. Absent for Sassuolo: D. Boloca, J. Idzes, I. Kone, F. Leysen, Y. Paz. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Como vs Sassuolo: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.52 | 5.20 | 6.38 |
| Market average | 1.49 | 4.84 | 5.84 |
| Lowest odds | 1.44 | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.10 | 85.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.41 | 1.37 | 68.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.20 | 2.98 | 31.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.04 | 1.95 | 49.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.47 | 63.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.53 | 36.8% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 12:03. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.1%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Como 2–1 Sassuolo, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Como 4th (23 points), Sassuolo 17th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: Como 4W 2D 1L (12:7), Sassuolo 2W 2D 3L (12:14).
- H2H: 4 matches: Como 3W 0D 1L, goals 8–2.
- Absences: Como 5, Sassuolo 5.
Who will win Como vs Sassuolo?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Como vs Sassuolo: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Como vs Sassuolo: team news and absences
Como
- T. Chalobahinjury · will miss the match
- A. Diaothigh injury · will miss the match
- M. Keanabsence · will miss the match
- M. Liberaliabsence · will miss the match
- J. Rodriguezinjury · will miss the match
Sassuolo
- D. Bolocamuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. Idzesmuscle injury · will miss the match
- I. Konebroken leg · will miss the match
- F. Leysenknee injury · will miss the match
- Y. Pazknee injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 | Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Como
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
ComoWWWWDSassuoloLLLLDHead to head
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Como vs Sassuolo?
Sassuolo +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.93); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win Como vs Sassuolo?
We estimate: Como win 64%, draw 20%, Sassuolo win 16%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 14:00, venue: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como. Referee: Davide Di Marco, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Como: T. Chalobah, A. Diao, M. Kean, M. Liberali, J. Rodriguez. Sassuolo: D. Boloca, J. Idzes, I. Kone, F. Leysen, Y. Paz. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 69% (odds 1.41); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 31% (odds 3.20).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 63% (odds 1.50).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (9.6%), then 2–0 (8.3%) and 1–1 (8.2%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.