Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Coventry play Sunderland at home on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Coventry Building Society Arena (Coventry); the referee is Simon Hooper. For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Coventry vs Sunderland: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Coventry are 16th in the table, on 9 points after 9 matches (3W 0D 6L), and Sunderland are 20th, on 5 points (1W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. On average Coventry score 0.8 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.9; for Sunderland the figures are 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Coventry: 2W 0D 6L, goals 6–15; Sunderland: 1W 2D 5L, goals 6–14.
- Head to head. From 13 meetings: 6 wins for Coventry, 1 win for Sunderland and 6 draws, with the goals at 24–14.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.7%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
What stands out is that the table favours the Coventry, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the away side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.80), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 54% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 48% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 13; Coventry 6 wins, 6 draws, Sunderland 1 win.
- An average of 2.9 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Coventry 6–15, Sunderland 6–14.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 48%.
- Out: Coventry 5, Sunderland 4.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 54%, best price 1.80). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Coventry: A. Amenda, J. Eccles, L. Woolfenden, H. Wright, B. Thomas. Absent for Sunderland: D. Ballard, R. Mundle, N. Mukiele, J. Ta Bi. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Coventry vs Sunderland: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.23 | 3.42 | 2.41 |
| Market average | 3.09 | 3.29 | 2.34 |
| Lowest odds | 2.78 | 3.05 | 2.26 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 | 1.31 | 72.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.08 | 2.00 | 47.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.89 | 1.83 | 52.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.62 | 3.45 | 27.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.75 | 53.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.01 | 46.5% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 09:22. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.6%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Coventry 1–1 Sunderland, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Coventry 16th (9 points), Sunderland 20th (5 points).
- Form in the competition: Coventry 2W 0D 6L (6:15), Sunderland 1W 2D 5L (6:14).
- H2H: 13 matches: Coventry 6W 6D 1L, goals 24–14.
- Absences: Coventry 5, Sunderland 4.
Who will win Coventry vs Sunderland?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Coventry vs Sunderland: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Coventry vs Sunderland: team news and absences
Coventry
- A. Amendacalf injury · will miss the match
- J. Ecclesankle injury · will miss the match
- L. Woolfendenknee injury · will miss the match
- H. Wrightmuscle injury · will miss the match
- B. Thomascalf injury · doubtful
Sunderland
- D. Ballardmuscle injury · will miss the match
- R. Mundleknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Mukieleabsence · doubtful
- J. Ta Biinjury · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Everton | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 | Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Coventry
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
CoventryWLLWWSunderlandLDLLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Coventry vs Sunderland?
Coventry +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Both teams to score (1.80).
Who will win Coventry vs Sunderland?
We estimate: Coventry win 31%, draw 29%, Sunderland win 40%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry. Referee: Simon Hooper.
Who will be missing?
Coventry: A. Amenda, J. Eccles, L. Woolfenden, H. Wright, B. Thomas. Sunderland: D. Ballard, R. Mundle, N. Mukiele, J. Ta Bi. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.08); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 52% (odds 1.89).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 54% (odds 1.80).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.7%), then 0–1 (11.1%) and 1–0 (9.4%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.