Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Cremonese play Benevento at home on 31 October 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Giovanni Zini (Cremona); the referee is Livio Marinelli. For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Cremonese vs Benevento: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Cremonese are 11th in the table, on 12 points after 10 matches (3W 3D 4L), and Benevento are 6th, on 15 points (4W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. On average Cremonese score 0.9 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.2; for Benevento the figures are 1.6 scored and 0.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Cremonese: 2W 3D 4L, goals 8–11; Benevento: 4W 3D 2L, goals 14–8.
- Head to head. From 7 meetings: 2 wins for Cremonese, 3 wins for Benevento and 2 draws, with the goals at 6–7.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.8%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.80), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 54% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 47% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 7; Cremonese 2 wins, 2 draws, Benevento 3 wins.
- An average of 1.9 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Cremonese 8–11, Benevento 14–8.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 47%.
- Out: Cremonese 0, Benevento 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 54%, best price 1.80). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Cremonese: no absences. Absent for Benevento: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Cremonese vs Benevento: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.85 | 3.25 | 2.74 |
| Market average | 2.69 | 3.12 | 2.61 |
| Lowest odds | 2.45 | 2.90 | 2.45 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.35 | 1.30 | 71.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.08 | 1.99 | 47.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.83 | 1.80 | 52.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.43 | 27.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.73 | 53.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.02 | 46.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 07:09. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.6%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Cremonese 1–1 Benevento, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Cremonese 11th (12 points), Benevento 6th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Cremonese 2W 3D 4L (8:11), Benevento 4W 3D 2L (14:8).
- H2H: 7 matches: Cremonese 2W 2D 3L, goals 6–7.
- Absences: Cremonese 0, Benevento 0.
Who will win Cremonese vs Benevento?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Cremonese vs Benevento: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Cremonese vs Benevento: team news and absences
Cremonese
- No reported absences
Benevento
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 | Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Cremonese
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
CremoneseWWLLDBeneventoLDWDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Cremonese vs Benevento?
Cremonese or draw (1X) (1.52); Both teams to score (1.80).
Who will win Cremonese vs Benevento?
We estimate: Cremonese win 35%, draw 30%, Benevento win 36%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 14:00, venue: Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona. Referee: Livio Marinelli.
Who will be missing?
Cremonese: no absences. Benevento: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 47% (odds 2.08); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 53% (odds 1.83).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 54% (odds 1.80).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.8%), then 0–1 (10.3%) and 1–0 (10.3%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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