Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Benevento against Catanzaro on 27 October 2026 · 18:00 at Stadio Ciro Vigorito (Benevento), and Alberto Poli will referee. Benevento (59%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Benevento vs Catanzaro: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Benevento are 6th in the table, on 15 points after 10 matches (4W 3D 3L), and Catanzaro are 20th, on 6 points (1W 3D 6L).
- Attack and defence. On average Benevento score 1.6 goals a match in the competition and concede 0.9; for Catanzaro the figures are 1.1 scored and 2.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Benevento: 4W 2D 2L, goals 13–7; Catanzaro: 1W 1D 6L, goals 9–20.
- Head to head. From 1 meetings: 0 wins for Benevento, 0 wins for Catanzaro and 1 draw, with the goals at 1–1.
What to expect
For us, Benevento are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–1 (9.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 57% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 59% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 1; Benevento 0 wins, 1 draw, Catanzaro 0 wins.
- An average of 2.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Benevento 13–7, Catanzaro 9–20.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 59%.
- Out: Benevento 0, Catanzaro 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, best price 1.66). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Benevento: no absences. Absent for Catanzaro: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Benevento vs Catanzaro: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.69 | 4.58 | 5.75 |
| Market average | 1.57 | 4.14 | 5.15 |
| Lowest odds | 1.50 | 3.50 | 4.01 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.16 | 80.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.66 | 1.60 | 59.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.39 | 2.30 | 41.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.70 | 2.46 | 37.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.63 | 56.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.21 | 2.15 | 43.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 27/10/26, 17:04. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Benevento 2–1 Catanzaro, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Benevento 6th (15 points), Catanzaro 20th (6 points).
- Form in the competition: Benevento 4W 2D 2L (13:7), Catanzaro 1W 1D 6L (9:20).
- H2H: 1 match: Benevento 0W 1D 0L, goals 1–1.
- Absences: Benevento 0, Catanzaro 0.
Who will win Benevento vs Catanzaro?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Benevento vs Catanzaro: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Benevento vs Catanzaro: team news and absences
Benevento
- No reported absences
Catanzaro
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 | Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Benevento
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
BeneventoLDWDWCatanzaroDDLDLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Benevento vs Catanzaro?
Benevento -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.91); Under 3.5 goals (1.55).
Who will win Benevento vs Catanzaro?
We estimate: Benevento win 59%, draw 23%, Catanzaro win 18%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 27 October 2026, kick-off: 18:00, venue: Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento. Referee: Alberto Poli.
Who will be missing?
Benevento: no absences. Catanzaro: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.66); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 41% (odds 2.39).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 57% (odds 1.67).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (9.9%), then 1–1 (9.9%) and 2–0 (9.5%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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