Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Mantova against Cremonese on 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at Stadio Danilo Martelli (Mantova), and Rapuano Andrea will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Mantova vs Cremonese: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Mantova are 4th in the table, on 18 points after 10 matches (5W 3D 2L), and Cremonese are 11th, on 12 points (3W 3D 4L).
- Attack and defence. On average Mantova score 1.8 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.0; for Cremonese the figures are 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Mantova: 5W 2D 1L, goals 14–8; Cremonese: 1W 3D 4L, goals 6–11.
- Head to head. From 3 meetings: 1 win for Mantova, 2 wins for Cremonese and 0 draws, with the goals at 3–6.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.5%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.75), and we rate it at 55%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 55% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 48% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 3; Mantova 1 win, 0 draws, Cremonese 2 wins.
- An average of 3.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Mantova 14–8, Cremonese 6–11.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 48%.
- Out: Mantova 0, Cremonese 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 55%, best price 1.75). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Mantova: no absences. Absent for Cremonese: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Mantova vs Cremonese: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.39 | 3.30 | 3.26 |
| Market average | 2.30 | 3.17 | 3.08 |
| Lowest odds | 2.20 | 3.00 | 2.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 | 1.29 | 72.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.06 | 1.96 | 48.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.82 | 51.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.55 | 3.32 | 28.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.70 | 54.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.05 | 45.3% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.6%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Mantova 1–1 Cremonese, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Mantova 4th (18 points), Cremonese 11th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Mantova 5W 2D 1L (14:8), Cremonese 1W 3D 4L (6:11).
- H2H: 3 matches: Mantova 1W 0D 2L, goals 3–6.
- Absences: Mantova 0, Cremonese 0.
Who will win Mantova vs Cremonese?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Mantova vs Cremonese: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Mantova vs Cremonese: team news and absences
Mantova
- No reported absences
Cremonese
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 | Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Mantova
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
MantovaDLWLWCremoneseWWLLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Mantova vs Cremonese?
Cremonese +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.92); Both teams to score (1.75).
Who will win Mantova vs Cremonese?
We estimate: Mantova win 41%, draw 29%, Cremonese win 30%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 27 October 2026, kick-off: 19:00, venue: Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova. Referee: Rapuano Andrea.
Who will be missing?
Mantova: no absences. Cremonese: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.06); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 52% (odds 1.85).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 55% (odds 1.75).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.5%), then 1–0 (10.4%) and 0–1 (8.9%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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