Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Dinamo Zagreb play NEC Nijmegen at home on 22 October 2026 · 17:45 at Stadion Maksimir (Zagreb); the referee is Manfredas Lukjančukas. For us, Dinamo Zagreb (62%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Dinamo Zagreb are 18th in the table, on 4 points after 3 matches (1W 1D 1L), and NEC Nijmegen are 20th, on 4 points (1W 1D 1L).
- Head to head. From 1 meetings: 0 wins for Dinamo Zagreb, 1 win for NEC Nijmegen and 0 draws, with the goals at 2–4.
What to expect
For us, Dinamo Zagreb are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–1 (9.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.59), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 57% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 62% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 1; Dinamo Zagreb 0 wins, 0 draws, NEC Nijmegen 1 win.
- An average of 6.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 62%.
- Out: Dinamo Zagreb 0, NEC Nijmegen 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, best price 1.67). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Dinamo Zagreb: no absences. Absent for NEC Nijmegen: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.55 | 4.70 | 5.90 |
| Market average | 1.53 | 4.44 | 5.56 |
| Lowest odds | 1.50 | 3.76 | 4.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.15 | 81.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.59 | 1.53 | 61.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.45 | 38.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.32 | 40.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.62 | 57.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.19 | 42.6% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 22/10/26, 16:29. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.1%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Dinamo Zagreb 2–1 NEC Nijmegen, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Dinamo Zagreb 18th (4 points), NEC Nijmegen 20th (4 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Dinamo Zagreb 0W 0D 1L, goals 2–4.
- Absences: Dinamo Zagreb 0, NEC Nijmegen 0.
Who will win Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: team news and absences
Dinamo Zagreb
- No reported absences
NEC Nijmegen
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 4 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union Saint-Gilloise | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Rennes | 4 | 1-3-0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 13 |  Lyon | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 | Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 | NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrøm | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznań | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzeň | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
Dinamo Zagreb -1 (Asian handicap) (2.05); Over 2.5 goals (1.59).
Who will win Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
We estimate: Dinamo Zagreb win 62%, draw 21%, NEC Nijmegen win 17%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 22 October 2026, kick-off: 17:45, venue: Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb. Referee: Manfredas Lukjančukas.
Who will be missing?
Dinamo Zagreb: no absences. NEC Nijmegen: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.59); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 38% (odds 2.62).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 57% (odds 1.67).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (9.9%), then 1–1 (9.4%) and 2–0 (9.4%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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