Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Elche v Valencia: 1 November 2026 · 17:30 at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche), with Luis Bestard Servera refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Elche vs Valencia: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Elche are 17th in the table, on 10 points after 11 matches (2W 4D 5L), and Valencia are 19th, on 9 points (2W 3D 6L).
- Attack and defence. On average Elche score 1.4 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.7; for Valencia the figures are 0.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Elche: 2W 4D 4L, goals 14–17; Valencia: 1W 3D 6L, goals 7–17.
- Head to head. From 13 meetings: 3 wins for Elche, 8 wins for Valencia and 2 draws, with the goals at 11–21.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.5%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.75), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 54% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 49% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 13; Elche 3 wins, 2 draws, Valencia 8 wins.
- An average of 2.5 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Elche 14–17, Valencia 7–17.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 49%.
- Out: Elche 1, Valencia 6.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 54%, best price 1.75). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Elche: M. Aguado. Absent for Valencia: S. Canos, J. Copete, H. Elliott, D. Lopez, D. Otorbi, K. van Oevelen. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Elche vs Valencia: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.45 | 3.40 | 3.36 |
| Market average | 2.33 | 3.30 | 3.15 |
| Lowest odds | 2.25 | 3.09 | 2.85 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 | 1.30 | 72.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.06 | 1.95 | 49.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.96 | 1.87 | 51.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.28 | 28.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.71 | 54.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.05 | 45.5% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 1/11/26, 17:06. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.1%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Elche 1–1 Valencia, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Elche 17th (10 points), Valencia 19th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Elche 2W 4D 4L (14:17), Valencia 1W 3D 6L (7:17).
- H2H: 13 matches: Elche 3W 2D 8L, goals 11–21.
- Absences: Elche 1, Valencia 6.
Who will win Elche vs Valencia?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Elche vs Valencia: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Elche vs Valencia: team news and absences
Elche
- M. Aguadoankle injury · will miss the match
Valencia
- S. Canosknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Copeteabsence · will miss the match
- H. Elliottred card · will miss the match
- D. Lopezknee injury · will miss the match
- D. Otorbihamstring injury · will miss the match
- K. van Oevelenknee injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 | Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Elche
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
ElcheLWDDWValenciaWLDDLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Elche vs Valencia?
Elche +0 (Asian handicap) (1.74); Both teams to score (1.75).
Who will win Elche vs Valencia?
We estimate: Elche win 41%, draw 29%, Valencia win 30%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 1 November 2026, kick-off: 17:30, venue: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche. Referee: Luis Bestard Servera.
Who will be missing?
Elche: M. Aguado. Valencia: S. Canos, J. Copete, H. Elliott, D. Lopez, D. Otorbi, K. van Oevelen. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 2.06); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 51% (odds 1.96).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 54% (odds 1.75).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.5%), then 1–0 (10.4%) and 0–1 (8.9%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.