Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Valencia v Athletic Club: 17 October 2026 · 20:00 at Estadio de Mestalla (Valdivia), with Adrián Cordero Vega, Spain refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Valencia vs Athletic Club: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Valencia are 19th in the table, on 9 points after 11 matches (2W 3D 6L), and Athletic Club are 7th, on 15 points (4W 3D 3L).
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.8%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.81), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 52% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 46% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 46%.
- Out: Valencia 0, Athletic Club 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 52%, best price 1.80). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Valencia: no absences. Absent for Athletic Club: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Valencia vs Athletic Club: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.34 | 3.43 | 2.36 |
| Market average | 3.22 | 3.31 | 2.31 |
| Lowest odds | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.35 | 1.33 | 70.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.15 | 2.09 | 45.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.81 | 1.76 | 54.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.75 | 3.62 | 25.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.80 | 51.7% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.93 | 48.3% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 17/10/26, 18:13. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Valencia 1–1 Athletic Club, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Valencia 19th (9 points), Athletic Club 7th (15 points).
- Absences: Valencia 0, Athletic Club 0.
Who will win Valencia vs Athletic Club?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Valencia vs Athletic Club: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Valencia vs Athletic Club: team news and absences
Valencia
- No reported absences
Athletic Club
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Valencia vs Athletic Club?
Athletic Club +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.52); Under 2.5 goals (1.81).
Who will win Valencia vs Athletic Club?
We estimate: Valencia win 30%, draw 29%, Athletic Club win 41%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 17 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Estadio de Mestalla, Valdivia. Referee: Adrián Cordero Vega, Spain.
Who will be missing?
Valencia: no absences. Athletic Club: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.15); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 54% (odds 1.81).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 52% (odds 1.80).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.8%), then 0–1 (11.6%) and 1–0 (9.5%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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