Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Villarreal v Elche: 17 October 2026 · 15:15 at Estadio de la Cerámica (Villarreal), with Víctor García Verdura, Spain refereeing. We have Villarreal (67%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Villarreal vs Elche: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Villarreal are 9th in the table, on 12 points after 11 matches (3W 3D 5L), and Elche are 17th, on 10 points (2W 4D 5L).
What to expect
For us, Villarreal are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–1 (9.6%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.57), and we rate it at 59%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 59% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 67% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 67%.
- Out: Villarreal 0, Elche 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 59%, best price 1.57). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Villarreal: no absences. Absent for Elche: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Villarreal vs Elche: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.46 | 5.41 | 7.19 |
| Market average | 1.43 | 5.09 | 6.67 |
| Lowest odds | 1.40 | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.09 | 84.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.41 | 1.40 | 66.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.83 | 33.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.12 | 2.04 | 46.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.56 | 59.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.28 | 40.7% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 17/10/26, 12:01. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.9%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Villarreal 2–1 Elche, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Villarreal 9th (12 points), Elche 17th (10 points).
- Absences: Villarreal 0, Elche 0.
Who will win Villarreal vs Elche?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Villarreal vs Elche: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Villarreal vs Elche: team news and absences
Villarreal
- No reported absences
Elche
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 | Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 | Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Villarreal
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Villarreal vs Elche?
Villarreal -1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.95); Both teams to score (1.57).
Who will win Villarreal vs Elche?
We estimate: Villarreal win 67%, draw 19%, Elche win 14%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 17 October 2026, kick-off: 15:15, venue: Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal. Referee: Víctor García Verdura, Spain.
Who will be missing?
Villarreal: no absences. Elche: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 67% (odds 1.41); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 33% (odds 3.00).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 59% (odds 1.57).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (9.6%), then 2–0 (9.1%) and 1–1 (8.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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