Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Liverpool against Brighton on 25 October 2026 · 14:00 at Anfield (Liverpool), and Samuel Barrott will referee. Liverpool (46%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Liverpool vs Brighton: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Liverpool are 5th in the table, on 15 points after 9 matches (4W 3D 2L), and Brighton are 3rd, on 19 points (6W 1D 2L).
- Attack and defence. On average Liverpool score 1.3 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.1; for Brighton the figures are 3.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Liverpool: 3W 3D 1L, goals 9–8; Brighton: 5W 1D 1L, goals 23–5.
- Head to head. From 24 meetings: 15 wins for Liverpool, 5 wins for Brighton and 4 draws, with the goals at 52–28.
What to expect
For us, Liverpool are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.5%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
What stands out is that the table favours the Brighton, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the home side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 64% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 61% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 24; Liverpool 15 wins, 4 draws, Brighton 5 wins.
- An average of 3.3 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Liverpool 9–8, Brighton 23–5.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 61%.
- Out: Liverpool 7, Brighton 8.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 64%, best price 1.50). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Liverpool: C. Bradley, H. Ekitike, J. Frimpong, G. Leoni, A. Nallo, D. Szoboszlai, V. Munoz. Absent for Brighton: F. Azeez, E. Ferguson, Y. Minteh, K. Mitoma, S. Tzimas, M. Wieffer, Z. Yohanna, P. Struijk. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Liverpool vs Brighton: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.15 | 4.04 | 3.40 |
| Market average | 2.09 | 3.86 | 3.26 |
| Lowest odds | 2.00 | 3.70 | 3.13 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.15 | 81.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.54 | 61.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.60 | 2.45 | 38.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.33 | 41.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.46 | 63.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.54 | 36.5% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 25/10/26, 13:09. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.6%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Liverpool 1–1 Brighton, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Liverpool 5th (15 points), Brighton 3rd (19 points).
- Form in the competition: Liverpool 3W 3D 1L (9:8), Brighton 5W 1D 1L (23:5).
- H2H: 24 matches: Liverpool 15W 4D 5L, goals 52–28.
- Absences: Liverpool 7, Brighton 8.
Who will win Liverpool vs Brighton?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Liverpool vs Brighton: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Liverpool vs Brighton: team news and absences
Liverpool
- C. Bradleyknee injury · will miss the match
- H. EkitikeAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- J. Frimpongmuscle injury · will miss the match
- G. Leoniknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Nalloabsence · will miss the match
- D. Szoboszlaimuscle injury · will miss the match
- V. Munozknee injury · doubtful
Brighton
- F. Azeezabsence · will miss the match
- E. Fergusonankle injury · will miss the match
- Y. Mintehinjury · will miss the match
- K. Mitomahamstring injury · will miss the match
- S. Tzimasknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Wiefferknee injury · will miss the match
- Z. Yohannainjury · will miss the match
- P. Struijkabsence · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Everton | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Liverpool
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
LiverpoolLWWLWBrightonWLWWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Liverpool vs Brighton?
Liverpool +0 (Asian handicap) (1.64); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win Liverpool vs Brighton?
We estimate: Liverpool win 46%, draw 25%, Brighton win 29%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 25 October 2026, kick-off: 14:00, venue: Anfield, Liverpool. Referee: Samuel Barrott.
Who will be missing?
Liverpool: C. Bradley, H. Ekitike, J. Frimpong, G. Leoni, A. Nallo, D. Szoboszlai, V. Munoz. Brighton: F. Azeez, E. Ferguson, Y. Minteh, K. Mitoma, S. Tzimas, M. Wieffer, Z. Yohanna, P. Struijk. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.57); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 39% (odds 2.60).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 64% (odds 1.50).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.5%), then 2–1 (9.2%) and 1–0 (7.5%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.