Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 5–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Brighton v Crystal Palace: 18 October 2026 · 14:00 at American Express Stadium (Falmer), with Robert Jones refereeing. We have Brighton (66%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Brighton vs Crystal Palace: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Brighton are 3rd in the table, on 19 points after 9 matches (6W 1D 2L), and Crystal Palace are 18th, on 7 points (2W 1D 6L).
What to expect
For us, Brighton are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–0 (10.4%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), and we rate it at 61%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 55% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 61% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 61%.
- Out: Brighton 0, Crystal Palace 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 60%, best price 1.65). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Brighton: no absences. Absent for Crystal Palace: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Brighton vs Crystal Palace: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.51 | 4.93 | 7.07 |
| Market average | 1.45 | 4.77 | 6.61 |
| Lowest odds | 1.40 | 4.50 | 6.45 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.14 | 81.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.51 | 2.39 | 39.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.45 | 2.36 | 40.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.68 | 55.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.08 | 44.6% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 18/10/26, 12:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.1%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Brighton 2–0 Crystal Palace, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Brighton 3rd (19 points), Crystal Palace 18th (7 points).
- Absences: Brighton 0, Crystal Palace 0.
Who will win Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Brighton vs Crystal Palace: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Brighton vs Crystal Palace: team news and absences
Brighton
- No reported absences
Crystal Palace
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Everton | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
Crystal Palace +1.75 (Asian handicap) (1.58); Over 2.5 goals (1.57).
Who will win Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
We estimate: Brighton win 66%, draw 20%, Crystal Palace win 14%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 18 October 2026, kick-off: 14:00, venue: American Express Stadium, Falmer. Referee: Robert Jones.
Who will be missing?
Brighton: no absences. Crystal Palace: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.57); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 39% (odds 2.51).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 55% (odds 1.70).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–0 as most likely (10.4%), then 2–1 (9.9%) and 1–0 (9.4%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.