Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Getafe play Rayo Vallecano at home on 19 October 2026 · 20:00 at Coliseum Alfonso Pérez (Getafe); the referee is Jon Ander González Esteban, Spain. For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Getafe are 13th in the table, on 12 points after 11 matches (3W 3D 5L), and Rayo Vallecano are 12th, on 12 points (3W 3D 4L).
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 0–1 (13.5%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), and we rate it at 66%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 43% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 34% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 34%.
- Out: Getafe 0, Rayo Vallecano 0.
Alternative tip: Over 1.5 goals
Alternative tip: Over 1.5 goals (probability 60%, best price 1.63). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Getafe: no absences. Absent for Rayo Vallecano: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.13 | 3.09 | 2.82 |
| Market average | 2.98 | 2.91 | 2.69 |
| Lowest odds | 2.90 | 2.80 | 2.59 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.63 | 1.59 | 59.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.97 | 2.78 | 34.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.47 | 1.43 | 66.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 6.50 | 5.75 | 16.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.20 | 2.17 | 43.0% |
| BTTS – no | 1.67 | 1.63 | 57.0% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 19/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.3%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Getafe 0–1 Rayo Vallecano, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Getafe 13th (12 points), Rayo Vallecano 12th (12 points).
- Absences: Getafe 0, Rayo Vallecano 0.
Who will win Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano: team news and absences
Getafe
- No reported absences
Rayo Vallecano
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 | Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
Rayo Vallecano +0 (Asian handicap) (1.89); Under 2.5 goals (1.47).
Who will win Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
We estimate: Getafe win 32%, draw 33%, Rayo Vallecano win 35%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 19 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe. Referee: Jon Ander González Esteban, Spain.
Who will be missing?
Getafe: no absences. Rayo Vallecano: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 34% (odds 2.97); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 66% (odds 1.47).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 43% (odds 2.20).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 0–1 as most likely (13.5%), then 1–1 (13.5%) and 1–0 (12.9%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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