Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 4–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Athletic Club against Getafe on 25 October 2026 · 13:00 at San Mamés Stadium (Bilbao), and Francisco José Hernández Maeso will referee. Athletic Club (61%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Athletic Club vs Getafe: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Athletic Club are 7th in the table, on 15 points after 10 matches (4W 3D 3L), and Getafe are 13th, on 12 points (3W 3D 5L).
- Attack and defence. On average Athletic Club score 1.0 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.1; for Getafe the figures are 0.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Athletic Club: 2W 3D 3L, goals 8–9; Getafe: 2W 3D 4L, goals 5–11.
- Head to head. From 31 meetings: 11 wins for Athletic Club, 6 wins for Getafe and 14 draws, with the goals at 42–25.
What to expect
For us, Athletic Club are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–0 (14.7%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick BTTS: no (odds 1.73), and we rate it at 56%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 44% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 45% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 31; Athletic Club 11 wins, 14 draws, Getafe 6 wins.
- An average of 2.2 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Athletic Club 8–9, Getafe 5–11.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 45%.
- Out: Athletic Club 4, Getafe 5.
Alternative tip: BTTS – no
Alternative tip: BTTS – no (probability 56%, best price 1.73). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Athletic Club: U. Egiluz, G. Guruzeta, A. Laporte, O. Sancet. Absent for Getafe: Djene, Juanmi, O. Mangala, Z. Romero, C. Uche. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Athletic Club vs Getafe: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.65 | 4.21 | 6.67 |
| Market average | 1.58 | 3.98 | 6.26 |
| Lowest odds | 1.53 | 3.80 | 5.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.39 | 1.37 | 68.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.23 | 2.13 | 44.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.72 | 55.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.00 | 3.81 | 24.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.25 | 2.13 | 43.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.73 | 1.65 | 56.4% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 25/10/26, 12:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.4%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Athletic Club 1–0 Getafe, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Athletic Club 7th (15 points), Getafe 13th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Athletic Club 2W 3D 3L (8:9), Getafe 2W 3D 4L (5:11).
- H2H: 31 matches: Athletic Club 11W 14D 6L, goals 42–25.
- Absences: Athletic Club 4, Getafe 5.
Who will win Athletic Club vs Getafe?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Athletic Club vs Getafe: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Athletic Club vs Getafe: team news and absences
Athletic Club
- U. Egiluzknee injury · will miss the match
- G. Guruzetaknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Laportered card · will miss the match
- O. Sancetmuscle injury · will miss the match
Getafe
- Djenered card · will miss the match
- Juanmiknee injury · will miss the match
- O. Mangalamuscle injury · will miss the match
- Z. Romeromuscle injury · will miss the match
- C. Ucheknee injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 | Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Athletic Club
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Athletic ClubWWLDDGetafeWLDLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Athletic Club vs Getafe?
Getafe +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.54); BTTS: no (1.73).
Who will win Athletic Club vs Getafe?
We estimate: Athletic Club win 61%, draw 24%, Getafe win 15%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 25 October 2026, kick-off: 13:00, venue: San Mamés Stadium, Bilbao. Referee: Francisco José Hernández Maeso.
Who will be missing?
Athletic Club: U. Egiluz, G. Guruzeta, A. Laporte, O. Sancet. Getafe: Djene, Juanmi, O. Mangala, Z. Romero, C. Uche. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.23); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 55% (odds 1.76).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 44% (odds 2.25).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–0 as most likely (14.7%), then 2–0 (12.5%) and 1–1 (11.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.