Bet with Freshbet →Groningen play Heerenveen at home on 21 November 2026 · 20:00 at Euroborg (Groningen). For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Groningen vs Heerenveen: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Groningen are 8th in the table, on 15 points after 11 matches (4W 3D 4L), and Heerenveen are 7th, on 18 points (5W 3D 3L).
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–2 score estimate, roughly 4 goals in all, and 1–1 (9.4%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.45), and we rate it at 67%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 67% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 67% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 67%.
- Out: Groningen 0, Heerenveen 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 53%, best price 1.81). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Groningen: no absences. Absent for Heerenveen: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Groningen vs Heerenveen: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.22 | 3.98 | 2.95 |
| Market average | 2.17 | 3.85 | 2.89 |
| Lowest odds | 2.15 | 3.70 | 2.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.11 | 84.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.45 | 1.41 | 66.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.81 | 33.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.07 | 2.03 | 46.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.40 | 1.37 | 67.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.90 | 2.83 | 32.7% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 03:20. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Groningen 1–1 Heerenveen, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Groningen 8th (15 points), Heerenveen 7th (18 points).
- Absences: Groningen 0, Heerenveen 0.
Who will win Groningen vs Heerenveen?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Groningen vs Heerenveen: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Groningen vs Heerenveen: team news and absences
Groningen
- No reported absences
Heerenveen
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 | Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
Groningen
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Groningen vs Heerenveen?
Groningen +0 (Asian handicap) (1.69); Over 2.5 goals (1.45).
Who will win Groningen vs Heerenveen?
We estimate: Groningen win 43%, draw 24%, Heerenveen win 32%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 21 November 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Euroborg, Groningen.
Who will be missing?
Groningen: no absences. Heerenveen: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 67% (odds 1.45); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 33% (odds 2.88).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 67% (odds 1.40).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (9.4%), then 2–1 (8.7%) and 1–2 (7.5%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.