Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF: prediction, tip and odds, 8 November 2026, Eliteserien

Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF betting prediction

Ham-Kam welcome Sarpsborg 08 FF to Briskeby Arena in Hamar on 8 November 2026, with kick-off at 16:00, in Eliteserien, Matchweek 26. Our lead selection is the double chance Ham-Kam or draw (1X) at odds 1.72 (chance 56%), while our follow-up pick is both teams to score at odds 1.50 (chance 64%). The hosts are the side we fancy backing, though not for a straight win.

Ham-Kam's home ground is their best case

Ham-Kam sit 13th in this competition with 27 points from 25 matches: 7 wins, 6 draws and 12 defeats, with goals 35:53. Those are the figures for Eliteserien alone. Their home record is more encouraging than the table, with 5 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats at Briskeby Arena and 17 goals scored against 24 conceded there. Across the season in this competition they average 1.4 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match, so the defence is the weak spot.

Across every competition, their recent results have been uneven. Over the last five matches they have collected 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, scoring 8 goals and conceding 12. The 2-4 victory at Start and the 2-2 draw at KFUM Oslo stand out as the performances we value most. On the other hand, the 0-2 home loss to Bodø/Glimt and the 0-3 home loss to Rosenborg are games they will want to put behind them, and since both were played at Briskeby, their home record looks a little less reliable.

Sarpsborg's away record is the weak link

Sarpsborg are ninth on 31 points, with 8 wins, 7 draws and 10 defeats from 25 matches in this competition, and goals 32:39. Their defence is the better of the two sides, conceding 1.6 per match against Ham-Kam's 2.1, and they score 1.3 per match. The away figures are where we become less enthusiastic: 3 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats, with 16 goals scored and 19 conceded on the road.

Their last five in all competitions bring 2 wins and 3 defeats, with 9 goals scored and 13 conceded. The home defeats to KFUM Oslo (1-3), Rosenborg (0-3) and Kristiansund BK (2-4) sit alongside the 2-1 home win over Aalesund and the 4-2 win at Aalesund. Two good results and three poor ones at home is not the form of a side we would trust to win away.

Head-to-head favours Sarpsborg, and nobody is missing

Head-to-head is where this preview struggles to make a case for Ham-Kam. Across the last 15 meetings, Sarpsborg 08 FF have taken 9 wins to Ham-Kam's 3, with 3 draws, and the goals stand at 23:29. The latest clash, played on 26 July 2026, ended 1-0 in Sarpsborg's favour, while the 2-2 draw on 26 March 2026 is the best result Ham-Kam can point to from that stretch. A 9-to-3 win count is hard to dismiss, and it is the key reason our main tip is capped at 1X.

Neither club has reported any injuries or suspensions, so the line-ups are unlikely to alter the outlook.

Our tip rests on the home draw and the home win

Sarpsborg are the market's choice to win, priced at a 44% chance with best odds of 2.17. Ham-Kam sit at 31% for a win (best odds 3.10), and the draw is at 25% (best odds 3.88). Across the three outcomes, the margin built into these prices comes to 8.1%. These figures reflect what the market expects, not how often these sides have actually won, and we take them as a hint that the favourites are unlikely to pull away. Expected goals stand at 1 for Ham-Kam and 2 for Sarpsborg, roughly three in total. The scorelines that come up most often are 1-1, 1-2 and 2-1.

Our top pick, Ham-Kam or draw at 1.72, rests on just two data points. In this competition Ham-Kam have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 5 at home, and the market puts the 1X result at a 56% probability at best odds of 1.72. We are drawn more to the value of the price than to the side itself, yet 1.72 covering the home draw is exactly the kind of number we expect from a home team with that record. The bet wins on 1-1, 2-1, 2-2 and 1-0, and loses on 1-2 and 0-1. The score the market rates second most likely, 1-2, is the outcome that sinks it.

Another tip: Both teams to score

This pick is both teams to score at 1.50, with an implied chance of 64%. Ham-Kam has found the net in 3 of its last 5 matches across all competitions, while Sarpsborg has done so in 4 of its last 5. Sarpsborg has been held scoreless in just 1 of those 5. An expected total near three goals, along with the market pricing this at 64% for 1.50, supports the selection. The bet lands on 1-1, 1-2, 2-1 and 2-2 and loses on 0-1 and 1-0. Ham-Kam does not have to win for it to pay out. It also shares the 1-1 and 2-1 results with our main tip, so both selections can go on the same slip.

Other bets we would consider

We would look at these alongside the tips, and only these:

• Ham-Kam +1.5 (Asian handicap) at 1.26, chance 75%. Only a defeat by two or more goals sinks this ticket; a one-goal loss at home, a draw, or a win all keep it alive. That makes it the safer route for anyone siding with the hosts.
• Over 2.5 goals at 1.55, chance 61%. Both teams have been finding the net in recent outings, and a projected total near three goals fits well with the second tip; we prefer this over backing the straight result.

Our view leans toward a home draw or a home victory as the most believable result, so our pick is Ham-Kam or draw at 1.72. Sarpsborg haven't travelled well enough to inspire confidence, yet the home price still looks reasonable to us. Should the goals arrive, we'd be most pleased to see the second tip and the over both come good.