Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sarpsborg 08 FF play Kristiansund BK at home on 1 November 2026 · 16:00 at Sarpsborg Stadion (Sarpsberg); the referee is Mathias Stofringshaug. For us, Sarpsborg 08 FF (63%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Sarpsborg 08 FF are 9th in the table, on 31 points after 25 matches (8W 7D 10L), and Kristiansund BK are 15th, on 23 points (6W 5D 14L).
- Attack and defence. On average Sarpsborg 08 FF score 1.3 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.5; for Kristiansund BK the figures are 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Sarpsborg 08 FF: 8W 7D 9L, goals 30–35; Kristiansund BK: 5W 5D 14L, goals 25–49.
- Head to head. From 19 meetings: 4 wins for Sarpsborg 08 FF, 9 wins for Kristiansund BK and 6 draws, with the goals at 23–32.
What to expect
For us, Sarpsborg 08 FF are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–1 (9.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), and we rate it at 66%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 61% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 66% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 19; Sarpsborg 08 FF 4 wins, 6 draws, Kristiansund BK 9 wins.
- An average of 2.9 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Sarpsborg 08 FF 30–35, Kristiansund BK 25–49.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 66%.
- Out: Sarpsborg 08 FF 3, Kristiansund BK 4.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 61%, best price 1.57). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Sarpsborg 08 FF: F. Carstensen, D. Karlsbakk, M. Opoku. Absent for Kristiansund BK: I. H. Aalberg, L. Alvheim, D. Ulvestad, W. Igor. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.53 | 4.70 | 6.31 |
| Market average | 1.48 | 4.49 | 5.70 |
| Lowest odds | 1.44 | 4.20 | 5.32 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.11 | 84.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.47 | 1.42 | 65.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.74 | 34.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.17 | 2.09 | 45.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.36 | 39.3% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 1/11/26, 12:07. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.3%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–1 Kristiansund BK, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Sarpsborg 08 FF 9th (31 points), Kristiansund BK 15th (23 points).
- Form in the competition: Sarpsborg 08 FF 8W 7D 9L (30:35), Kristiansund BK 5W 5D 14L (25:49).
- H2H: 19 matches: Sarpsborg 08 FF 4W 6D 9L, goals 23–32.
- Absences: Sarpsborg 08 FF 3, Kristiansund BK 4.
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK: team news and absences
Sarpsborg 08 FF
- F. Carstenseninjury · will miss the match
- D. Karlsbakkabsence · will miss the match
- M. Opokuankle injury · will miss the match
Kristiansund BK
- I. H. Aalberggroin injury · will miss the match
- L. Alvheimabsence · will miss the match
- D. Ulvestadred card · will miss the match
- W. Igorknee injury · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Sarpsborg 08 FFLWLWLKristiansund BKWDLLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK?
Sarpsborg 08 FF -1 (Asian handicap) (1.83); Over 2.5 goals (1.47).
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK?
We estimate: Sarpsborg 08 FF win 63%, draw 21%, Kristiansund BK win 16%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 1 November 2026, kick-off: 16:00, venue: Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsberg. Referee: Mathias Stofringshaug.
Who will be missing?
Sarpsborg 08 FF: F. Carstensen, D. Karlsbakk, M. Opoku. Kristiansund BK: I. H. Aalberg, L. Alvheim, D. Ulvestad, W. Igor. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 66% (odds 1.47); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 34% (odds 2.88).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 61% (odds 1.57).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (9.8%), then 2–0 (8.9%) and 1–1 (8.7%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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