Premier League
Home › Predictions › Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers
Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 11 · 28 October 2026 · 20:00

Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: prediction, tip and odds, 28 October 2026, Scottish Premiership

1Heart Of Midlothian3.99
XDraw3.91
2Rangers1.89

Best price · Updated 28/10/26, 18:00

FreshbetBet with Freshbet →
TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Heart Of Midlothian v Rangers: 28 October 2026 · 20:00 at Tynecastle Park (Edinburgh). We have Rangers (51%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: tip and prediction
Handicap
Rangers -0.5 (Asian handicap)
1.90
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.54
Combo
Rangers + over 2.5 goals combined
2.91
34% · fair odds for the combo
51%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Rangers (X2): 76% probability, best odds 1.25.

Bet now →

Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Heart Of Midlothian are 3rd in the table, on 20 points after 11 matches (6W 2D 3L), and Rangers are 2nd, on 24 points (7W 3D 1L).
  2. Attack and defence. On average Heart Of Midlothian score 2.2 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.5; for Rangers the figures are 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Heart Of Midlothian: 6W 1D 3L, goals 22–15; Rangers: 7W 2D 1L, goals 17–7.
  4. Head to head. From 52 meetings: 11 wins for Heart Of Midlothian, 32 wins for Rangers and 9 draws, with the goals at 48–103.

What to expect

For us, Rangers are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.54), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 60% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 59% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 52; Heart Of Midlothian 11 wins, 9 draws, Rangers 32 wins.
  2. An average of 2.9 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Heart Of Midlothian 22–15, Rangers 17–7.
  4. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 59%.
  5. Out: Heart Of Midlothian 0, Rangers 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 60%, best price 1.57). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Heart Of Midlothian: no absences. Absent for Rangers: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price3.993.911.89
Market average3.873.791.87
Lowest odds3.723.721.85
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1879.6%
Over 2.5 goals1.631.6159.0%
Under 2.5 goals2.372.3241.0%
Over 3.5 goals2.592.4738.0%
BTTS – yes1.571.5559.7%
BTTS – no2.332.2940.3%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 28/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.8%.

All bookmakers →

At a glance

  • Likely result: Heart Of Midlothian 1–1 Rangers, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Heart Of Midlothian 3rd (20 points), Rangers 2nd (24 points).
  • Form in the competition: Heart Of Midlothian 6W 1D 3L (22:15), Rangers 7W 2D 1L (17:7).
  • H2H: 52 matches: Heart Of Midlothian 11W 9D 32L, goals 48–103.
  • Absences: Heart Of Midlothian 0, Rangers 0.

Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers?

Heart Of Midlothian24%
Draw25%
Rangers51%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals79.6% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.20
Likely
Draw or Rangers (X2)75.6% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.25
Likely
Under 3.5 goals62.0% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.54
Likely
BTTS – yes59.7% · fair odds 1.67 · best 1.57
Possible
Over 2.5 goals59.0% · fair odds 1.69 · best 1.63
Possible
Rangers to win50.6% · fair odds 1.97 · best 1.89
Possible
Under 2.5 goals41.0% · fair odds 2.44 · best 2.37
Outsider
BTTS – no40.3% · fair odds 2.48 · best 2.33
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals38.0% · fair odds 2.63 · best 2.59
Outsider
Draw24.9% · fair odds 4.01 · best 3.91
Outsider
Heart Of Midlothian to win24.4% · fair odds 4.09 · best 3.99
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.02 · Under 1.73
probability of over 46.1%

Correct score prediction

1 : 110.8%
1 : 29.7%
0 : 19.0%
0 : 28.1%
2 : 16.5%
1 : 06.0%

Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: team news and absences

Heart Of Midlothian

  • No reported absences

Rangers

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Celtic129-1-227:1028
2Rangers117-3-119:924
3Heart Of Midlothian116-2-324:1720
4Falkirk125-3-415:1218
5Dundee115-2-417:1317
6Dundee United114-4-316:1616
7ST Johnstone123-5-415:1914
8ST Mirren124-2-612:2014
9Motherwell123-3-614:2012
10Aberdeen113-2-612:1411
11Kilmarnock122-3-713:289
12Hibernian112-2-711:178

Recent matches

Heart Of Midlothian

28 OctDHeart Of Midlothian 2–2 Rangers
25 OctWMotherwell 0–2 Heart Of Midlothian
22 OctLTrabzonspor 2–0 Heart Of Midlothian
18 OctLCeltic 7–1 Heart Of Midlothian
15 OctDHeart Of Midlothian 1–1 FC Nordsjælland

Rangers

28 OctDHeart Of Midlothian 2–2 Rangers
24 OctWRangers 4–0 ST Johnstone
17 OctDDundee 2–2 Rangers
10 OctWRangers 3–1 Kilmarnock
20 SeptWCeltic 0–1 Rangers

Home and away

Heart Of Midlothian at home5 matches: 4W 1D 0L, goals 15–4
Rangers away6 matches: 3W 3D 0L, goals 9–6

Team comparison

Heart Of MidlothianRangers
35%Form65%
48%Attack52%
23%Defence77%
60%Head to head40%
50%Goals50%
48.8%Overall51.2%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

Heart Of MidlothianDWLWD
RangersDWDWW

Head to head

All matches
11Heart Of Midlothian
9Draws
32Rangers
28/10/26 · Heart Of Midlothian 2–2 Rangers
4/5/26 · Heart Of Midlothian 2–1 Rangers
15/2/26 · Rangers 4–2 Heart Of Midlothian
21/12/25 · Heart Of Midlothian 2–1 Rangers
13/9/25 · Rangers 0–2 Heart Of Midlothian
16/2/25 · Heart Of Midlothian 1–3 Rangers

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.8%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers?

Rangers -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Under 3.5 goals (1.54).

Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers?

We estimate: Heart Of Midlothian win 24%, draw 25%, Rangers win 51%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 28 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh.

Who will be missing?

Heart Of Midlothian: no absences. Rangers: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.63); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 41% (odds 2.37).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 60% (odds 1.57).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.8%), then 1–2 (9.7%) and 0–1 (9.0%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

ST Johnstone vs Dundee 7 NovDundee United vs Motherwell 7 NovAberdeen vs Hibernian 7 NovST Mirren vs Rangers 7 NovHeart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk 8 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.