Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Motherwell play Heart Of Midlothian at home on 25 October 2026 · 14:00 at Fir Park (Motherwell); the referee is D. Nicolson. For us, Heart Of Midlothian (45%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Motherwell are 9th in the table, on 12 points after 12 matches (3W 3D 6L), and Heart Of Midlothian are 3rd, on 20 points (6W 2D 3L).
- Head to head. From 50 meetings: 18 wins for Motherwell, 23 wins for Heart Of Midlothian and 9 draws, with the goals at 55–74.
What to expect
For us, Heart Of Midlothian are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.2%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), and we rate it at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 60% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 58% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 50; Motherwell 18 wins, 9 draws, Heart Of Midlothian 23 wins.
- An average of 2.6 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 58%.
- Out: Motherwell 0, Heart Of Midlothian 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 60%, best price 1.60). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Motherwell: no absences. Absent for Heart Of Midlothian: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.35 | 3.85 | 2.12 |
| Market average | 3.24 | 3.69 | 2.08 |
| Lowest odds | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.19 | 78.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.63 | 57.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.33 | 2.23 | 42.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.80 | 2.57 | 36.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.60 | 1.54 | 60.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.35 | 39.5% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 25/10/26, 12:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.2%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Motherwell 1–1 Heart Of Midlothian, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Motherwell 9th (12 points), Heart Of Midlothian 3rd (20 points).
- H2H: 50 matches: Motherwell 18W 9D 23L, goals 55–74.
- Absences: Motherwell 0, Heart Of Midlothian 0.
Who will win Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian: team news and absences
Motherwell
- No reported absences
Heart Of Midlothian
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee United | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Motherwell or draw (1X) (1.78); Under 3.5 goals (1.53).
Who will win Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?
We estimate: Motherwell win 29%, draw 26%, Heart Of Midlothian win 45%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 25 October 2026, kick-off: 14:00, venue: Fir Park, Motherwell. Referee: D. Nicolson.
Who will be missing?
Motherwell: no absences. Heart Of Midlothian: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.67); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 42% (odds 2.33).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 60% (odds 1.60).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.2%), then 1–2 (9.3%) and 0–1 (8.6%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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