Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Kristiansund BK v Aalesund: 17 October 2026 · 15:00 at Kristiansund Stadion (Kristiansand), with Mischa Kellerhals, Norway refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Kristiansund BK are 15th in the table, on 23 points after 25 matches (6W 5D 14L), and Aalesund are 14th, on 24 points (5W 9D 11L).
- Head to head. From 15 meetings: 5 wins for Kristiansund BK, 6 wins for Aalesund and 4 draws, with the goals at 23–23.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–2 score estimate, roughly 4 goals in all, and 1–1 (10.6%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 64% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 61% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 15; Kristiansund BK 5 wins, 4 draws, Aalesund 6 wins.
- An average of 3.1 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 61%.
- Out: Kristiansund BK 0, Aalesund 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 64%, best price 1.50). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Kristiansund BK: no absences. Absent for Aalesund: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.53 | 3.86 | 2.64 |
| Market average | 2.43 | 3.69 | 2.57 |
| Lowest odds | 2.35 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.13 | 81.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.51 | 61.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.49 | 2.38 | 38.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.31 | 40.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.45 | 63.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.56 | 36.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 17/10/26, 12:15. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.4%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Kristiansund BK 1–1 Aalesund, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Kristiansund BK 15th (23 points), Aalesund 14th (24 points).
- H2H: 15 matches: Kristiansund BK 5W 4D 6L, goals 23–23.
- Absences: Kristiansund BK 0, Aalesund 0.
Who will win Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund: team news and absences
Kristiansund BK
- No reported absences
Aalesund
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund?
Kristiansund BK +0 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund?
We estimate: Kristiansund BK win 38%, draw 25%, Aalesund win 36%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 17 October 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: Kristiansund Stadion, Kristiansand. Referee: Mischa Kellerhals, Norway.
Who will be missing?
Kristiansund BK: no absences. Aalesund: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.57); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 39% (odds 2.49).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 64% (odds 1.50).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.6%), then 2–1 (8.5%) and 1–2 (8.2%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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