Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Aalesund v Sandefjord: 31 October 2026 · 17:00 at Color Line Stadion (Ålesund), with Tore Hansen refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Aalesund vs Sandefjord: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Aalesund are 14th in the table, on 24 points after 25 matches (5W 9D 11L), and Sandefjord are 12th, on 27 points (7W 6D 12L).
- Attack and defence. On average Aalesund score 1.7 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.2; for Sandefjord the figures are 0.9 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Aalesund: 5W 9D 10L, goals 40–53; Sandefjord: 6W 6D 12L, goals 22–31.
- Head to head. From 13 meetings: 3 wins for Aalesund, 8 wins for Sandefjord and 2 draws, with the goals at 13–22.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–2 score estimate, roughly 4 goals in all, and 1–1 (9.6%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.81), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 68% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 66% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 13; Aalesund 3 wins, 2 draws, Sandefjord 8 wins.
- An average of 2.7 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Aalesund 40–53, Sandefjord 22–31.
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 66%.
- Out: Aalesund 7, Sandefjord 8.
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals (probability 46%, best price 2.06). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Aalesund: I. Djantou, O. Gudmundsson, H. Hammer, S. Haram, M. Kristensen, M. Reed, J. Seehusen. Absent for Sandefjord: B. Berntsen, D. Koswal, F. Loftesnes-Bjune, M. Melchior, N. Moller, F. Apetorgbor, X. Lambrix, M. Sauer. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Aalesund vs Sandefjord: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.25 | 4.00 | 3.10 |
| Market average | 2.12 | 3.79 | 2.95 |
| Lowest odds | 1.94 | 3.31 | 2.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.10 | 84.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.40 | 66.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.89 | 2.78 | 33.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.06 | 2.02 | 46.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.40 | 1.36 | 67.8% |
| BTTS – no | 3.00 | 2.87 | 32.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 16:06. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.6%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Aalesund 1–1 Sandefjord, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Aalesund 14th (24 points), Sandefjord 12th (27 points).
- Form in the competition: Aalesund 5W 9D 10L (40:53), Sandefjord 6W 6D 12L (22:31).
- H2H: 13 matches: Aalesund 3W 2D 8L, goals 13–22.
- Absences: Aalesund 7, Sandefjord 8.
Who will win Aalesund vs Sandefjord?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Aalesund vs Sandefjord: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Aalesund vs Sandefjord: team news and absences
Aalesund
- I. Djantounot in the squad · will miss the match
- O. Gudmundssonred card · will miss the match
- H. Hammerinjury · will miss the match
- S. Haramabsence · will miss the match
- M. Kristenseninjury · doubtful
- M. Reedinjury · doubtful
- J. Seehuseninjury · doubtful
Sandefjord
- B. Berntsenabsence · will miss the match
- D. Koswalknee injury · will miss the match
- F. Loftesnes-Bjunethigh injury · will miss the match
- M. Melchiorknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Mollerankle injury · will miss the match
- F. Apetorgborinjury · doubtful
- X. Lambrixknee injury · doubtful
- M. Sauerinjury · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Aalesund
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
AalesundLLWLWSandefjordWLLDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Aalesund vs Sandefjord?
Draw or Sandefjord (X2) (1.85); Under 3.5 goals (1.81).
Who will win Aalesund vs Sandefjord?
We estimate: Aalesund win 44%, draw 25%, Sandefjord win 32%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 17:00, venue: Color Line Stadion, Ålesund. Referee: Tore Hansen.
Who will be missing?
Aalesund: I. Djantou, O. Gudmundsson, H. Hammer, S. Haram, M. Kristensen, M. Reed, J. Seehusen. Sandefjord: B. Berntsen, D. Koswal, F. Loftesnes-Bjune, M. Melchior, N. Moller, F. Apetorgbor, X. Lambrix, M. Sauer. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 66% (odds 1.44); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 34% (odds 2.89).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 68% (odds 1.40).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (9.6%), then 2–1 (8.9%) and 1–2 (7.4%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.