Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–5. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Le Havre play Paris Saint Germain at home on 30 October 2026 · 18:00 at Stade Océane (Le Havre); the referee is François Letexier. For us, Paris Saint Germain (73%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Le Havre are 18th in the table, on 2 points after 9 matches (0W 2D 7L), and Paris Saint Germain are 1st, on 20 points (6W 2D 1L).
- Attack and defence. On average Le Havre score 1.0 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.9; for Paris Saint Germain the figures are 2.0 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Le Havre: 0W 2D 6L, goals 8–15; Paris Saint Germain: 5W 2D 1L, goals 16–9.
- Head to head. From 9 meetings: 0 wins for Le Havre, 8 wins for Paris Saint Germain and 1 draw, with the goals at 6–31.
What to expect
For us, Paris Saint Germain are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–3 score, roughly 4 goals in all, with 0–2 (10.3%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.45), and we rate it at 67%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 56% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 67% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 9; Le Havre 0 wins, 1 draw, Paris Saint Germain 8 wins.
- An average of 4.1 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Le Havre 8–15, Paris Saint Germain 16–9.
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 67%.
- Out: Le Havre 6, Paris Saint Germain 5.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 56%, best price 1.67). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Le Havre: E. Jelert, F. Mambimbi, L. Mpasi-Nzau, T. Pembele, A. Toure, S. Zagadou. Absent for Paris Saint Germain: O. Dembele, K. Kvaratskhelia, A. Longoni, Marquinhos, N. Mendes. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 10.15 | 6.65 | 1.38 |
| Market average | 8.62 | 5.88 | 1.31 |
| Lowest odds | 7.43 | 5.42 | 1.24 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.10 | 84.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.45 | 1.41 | 66.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.85 | 33.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.14 | 2.04 | 46.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.66 | 56.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.12 | 43.9% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 30/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.4%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Le Havre 0–2 Paris Saint Germain, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Le Havre 18th (2 points), Paris Saint Germain 1st (20 points).
- Form in the competition: Le Havre 0W 2D 6L (8:15), Paris Saint Germain 5W 2D 1L (16:9).
- H2H: 9 matches: Le Havre 0W 1D 8L, goals 6–31.
- Absences: Le Havre 6, Paris Saint Germain 5.
Who will win Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: team news and absences
Le Havre
- E. Jelertthigh injury · will miss the match
- F. MambimbiAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- L. Mpasi-NzauAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- T. Pembelemuscle injury · will miss the match
- A. Toureknee injury · will miss the match
- S. Zagadouknee injury · will miss the match
Paris Saint Germain
- O. Dembelethigh injury · will miss the match
- K. Kvaratskheliaknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Longoniinjury · will miss the match
- Marquinhosthigh injury · will miss the match
- N. Mendesmuscle injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Le Havre
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Le HavreLLLLLParis Saint GermainWWWWWHead to head
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?
Le Havre +1.75 (Asian handicap) (1.94); Over 2.5 goals (1.45).
Who will win Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?
We estimate: Le Havre win 11%, draw 16%, Paris Saint Germain win 73%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 30 October 2026, kick-off: 18:00, venue: Stade Océane, Le Havre. Referee: François Letexier.
Who will be missing?
Le Havre: E. Jelert, F. Mambimbi, L. Mpasi-Nzau, T. Pembele, A. Toure, S. Zagadou. Paris Saint Germain: O. Dembele, K. Kvaratskhelia, A. Longoni, Marquinhos, N. Mendes. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 67% (odds 1.45); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 33% (odds 3.00).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 56% (odds 1.67).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 0–2 as most likely (10.3%), then 1–2 (9.3%) and 0–3 (8.8%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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