Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Le Havre v Auxerre: 18 October 2026 · 16:15 at Stade Océane (Le Havre), with E. Wattellier refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Le Havre vs Auxerre: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Le Havre are 18th in the table, on 2 points after 9 matches (0W 2D 7L), and Auxerre are 14th, on 10 points (3W 1D 5L).
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–1 score estimate, roughly 3 goals in all, and 1–1 (11.7%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
What stands out is that the table favours the Auxerre, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the home side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and we rate it at 58%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 58% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 54% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 54%.
- Out: Le Havre 0, Auxerre 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 58%, best price 1.67). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Le Havre: no absences. Absent for Auxerre: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Le Havre vs Auxerre: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.34 | 3.60 | 3.22 |
| Market average | 2.28 | 3.48 | 3.13 |
| Lowest odds | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.22 | 76.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.77 | 54.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.08 | 45.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.20 | 2.83 | 33.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.61 | 57.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.28 | 2.22 | 42.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 18/10/26, 13:01. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Le Havre 1–1 Auxerre, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Le Havre 18th (2 points), Auxerre 14th (10 points).
- Absences: Le Havre 0, Auxerre 0.
Who will win Le Havre vs Auxerre?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Le Havre vs Auxerre: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Le Havre vs Auxerre: team news and absences
Le Havre
- No reported absences
Auxerre
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Le Havre
Home and away
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Le Havre vs Auxerre?
Auxerre +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.94); Both teams to score (1.67).
Who will win Le Havre vs Auxerre?
We estimate: Le Havre win 42%, draw 27%, Auxerre win 31%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 18 October 2026, kick-off: 16:15, venue: Stade Océane, Le Havre. Referee: E. Wattellier.
Who will be missing?
Le Havre: no absences. Auxerre: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.80); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 46% (odds 2.18).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 58% (odds 1.67).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.7%), then 2–1 (9.0%) and 1–0 (9.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.